GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits at $0.01418, only 1.0% above its 60-day low as the downtrend stays entrenched
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 01:13 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.01492, the level corresponding to a 5.2% rise from the current $0.01418 and a meaningful recovery above the immediate trend zone.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01403 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that RSI is a temperature reading, not a reversal ticket.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that RSI is a temperature reading, not a reversal ticket. Key support to defend sits near $0.01403. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: GRT is 39.2% below its SMA200 and has lost 18.7% in 30 days. But RSI at 29.9 is already pressing the panic floor, while the MACD histogram has expanded to +5.868e-05; the chart may be exhausted, and a snapback from $0.01403 could punish late bears.
Leo, that RSI is a temperature reading, not a reversal ticket. Your proposed snapback starts just 1.0% above the 60-day low while GRT remains below every major average, including SMA20 by 4.8% and SMA50 by 14.5%; the MACD uptick is fighting a collapsing trend, not defeating it.
I think the bearish call leaves upside underpriced: RSI is 29.9, MACD histogram is positive and expanding at +5.868e-05, and the 60-day low at $0.01403 is nearby. A rebound from that level could be sharp even before the larger trend changes.
The fastest failure is a break of $0.01403, just 1.0% below the current $0.01418. That would make the oversold and positive-MACD exhibits look fragile, while 65.4% long accounts could add fuel to the decline; the prior record supports the bearish side with 4 WIN and 0 LOSS across shown directional calls.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating RSI 29.9 as a floor, while the conservative desk overreaches if it treats past calls as destiny. The deciding condition is whether GRT holds $0.01403 or breaks it decisively.
· Oversold RSI rebound
· Positive, expanding MACD histogram
· Breakdown already near 60-day low
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.01492, the level corresponding to a 5.2% rise from the current $0.01418 and a meaningful recovery above the immediate trend zone.
Mara, the market has already priced a lot of misery: GRT is 34.0% below the 60-day high. When RSI reaches 29.9, marginal sellers are often running out of fuel.
Leo, the 34.0% drawdown is evidence of damage, not a valuation floor. The decisive fact is that price is still only 1.0% above $0.01403, so a fresh low would confirm the trend rather than invalidate it.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the market has already priced a lot of misery: GRT is 34.0% below the 60-day high. When RSI reaches 29.9, marginal sellers are often running out of fuel.
Leo, the 34.0% drawdown is evidence of damage, not a valuation floor. The decisive fact is that price is still only 1.0% above $0.01403, so a fresh low would confirm the trend rather than invalidate it.
Leo, I see no funding-rate data to support a crowded short squeeze. What I do see is 65.4% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.89—crowd exposure is tilted toward the rebound thesis already.
Mara’s case fits the liquidity tape: 7-day performance is -3.0% and 30-day performance is -18.7%. Without a macro impulse, an oversold altcoin can stay oversold while liquidity keeps draining.
I rule for the bears: underweight wins, because the bearish moving-average structure is the decisive exhibit. GRT’s 39.2% gap below SMA200, reinforced by its 14.5% gap below SMA50, outweighs the oversold RSI; this ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $0.01492, which would reclaim SMA20 by implication only if confirmed by the supplied structure.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI at 29.9 is oversold, and MACD histogram is expanding at +5.868e-05. But price is 4.8% below SMA20, 14.5% below SMA50, and 39.2% below SMA200; the moving-average structure is decisively bearish.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 29, while 65.4% of long accounts are still leaning long with an L/S ratio of 1.89. That is fear in the headline and hope in the book—a poor combination for a clean rebound, especially with no usable StockTwits sample.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline tape offers no GRT-specific catalyst; it is mostly price-conversion pages and generic crypto forecasts. Broader crypto news highlights Bitcoin losses and stablecoin valuation debates, neither of which supplies a direct escape hatch for GRT.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack provides no fresh protocol, token-economics, adoption, or revenue metrics for The Graph. With GRT down 18.7% over 30 days and 34.0% below its 60-day high, the available fundamental case is too thin to counter the chart.
9d8ce90543b452f061180a7a5d8a34f4632bc5449766423b9e372207dd5a84892c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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