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GRT / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-08 01:10 UTC
$0.01
-0.83% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-08 01:10 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-08 — latest verdict → GRT
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

GRT sits at $0.0144, only 2.3% above its 60-day low as bearish structure dominates

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-08 01:10 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
13W–0L–3P · 1 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 77.2–100.0% · n=13 · early sample
2026-08-08 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-15
2026-08-06 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-13
2026-08-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-12
2026-08-04 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-11
2026-08-03 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-10
2026-08-02 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-09
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · GRT price $0.01438 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · GRT price $0.0144 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · GRT price $0.01496 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-08 · GRT price $0.0144 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-5.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · GRT price $0.01494 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · GRT price $0.01475 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · GRT price $0.01539 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · GRT price $0.0146 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-5.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · GRT price $0.01516 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · GRT price $0.01481 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · GRT price $0.0161 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · GRT price $0.01462 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-6.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · GRT price $0.01621 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · GRT price $0.01416 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-10.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · GRT price $0.01586 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · GRT price $0.01438 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-7.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · GRT price $0.01586 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · GRT price $0.01496 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · GRT price $0.01658 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · GRT price $0.01494 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-6.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · GRT price $0.0164 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · GRT price $0.01539 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · GRT price $0.0166 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · GRT price $0.01516 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · GRT price $0.01624 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · GRT price $0.0161 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · GRT price $0.01683 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · GRT price $0.01621 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-3.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · GRT price $0.01717 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · GRT price $0.01586 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · GRT price $0.01771 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · GRT price $0.01658 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-8.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · GRT price $0.01766 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · GRT price $0.01677 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-7.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.0144 -0.8% 24h
60d high0.02148 -33.1%
60d low0.01405 +2.3%
RSI(14)31.5
vs 200d SMA -39.2%
30d change -17.5%
Funding (net) -0.41 bp/8h
Fear & Greed30 · Fear
Long accounts67.6% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish call is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.01447 with RSI above 50.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.01405
Key resistance$0.02148
InvalidationThe bearish call is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.01447 with RSI above 50.
Main risksOversold reboundMACD improvementBreakdown near $0.01405
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Kai Nakamura: I’m bearish: GRT is 5.6% below SMA20, 14.8% below SMA50, and 39.2% below SMA200, with SMA50 trailing SMA200 by 28.6%. RSI at 31.5 and a 60-day low at $0.01405 frame the downside, though expanding MACD histogram (+4.941e-05) and a 7-day gain of 1.8% hint at a weak bounce.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sofia Reyes: I see bearish crowd psychology: Fear&Greed is 30, taker buy/sell is 0.89, and 67.6% of accounts are long. That combination leaves optimism leaning against poor execution, while StockTwits offers no usable sample from 0 messages.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Ed Walsh: The supplied headlines offer no GRT-specific catalyst with measurable market impact. The broader tape is distracted by Trump Media abandoning a CRO treasury deal and ABTC buying headlines, neither of which repairs GRT’s chart damage.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

Priya Anand: The pack supplies forecast and promotional headlines but no revenue, usage, emissions, unlock, or valuation figures. Fundamental conviction is therefore limited; the actionable evidence is overwhelmingly market-structure driven.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
dc503a1e37fb4d92cda004a3114f2bda12b1b36d015642ac4c0c6e45d3284b88
UTC date
2026-08-08

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