GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT trades at $0.0164, with the 60-day floor only 2.0% below and momentum still bearish
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:11 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above approximately $0.01755, the implied SMA20 level, would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01608 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “washed-out” story ignores the price tape.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “washed-out” story ignores the price tape. Key support to defend sits near $0.01608. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: GRT is 36.6% below its SMA200 and down 15.5% over 30 days. But RSI at 32.3 is already in the bruised zone, the MACD histogram is positive at 7.796e-06, and price is pressing the 60-day low at $0.01608—this is where washed-out sellers can run out of ammunition.
Leo, that “washed-out” story ignores the price tape. GRT is still below every major moving average, down 7.3% in seven days, and the MACD histogram is contracting; a tiny positive histogram inside a -28.1% SMA50/SMA200 structure is a spark in a flooded basement.
· Oversold RSI near 32.3 sparks a sharp rebound
· Support at $0.01608 holds
· Positive MACD histogram turns higher
Invalidation: A sustained move above approximately $0.01755, the implied SMA20 level, would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 2.0% gap to $0.01608 is the point—support is visible, and taker buy/sell at 1.04 shows buyers aren’t absent.
Theo would call that barely constructive flow, Leo, not conviction. With 63.3% of accounts long and a 1.73 long/short ratio, the trapped buyers are supply waiting to hit the market.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 2.0% gap to $0.01608 is the point—support is visible, and taker buy/sell at 1.04 shows buyers aren’t absent.
Theo would call that barely constructive flow, Leo, not conviction. With 63.3% of accounts long and a 1.73 long/short ratio, the trapped buyers are supply waiting to hit the market.
I’m with Mara on positioning: fear at 33 has not produced defensive positioning. Long-heavy accounts plus a price near the 60-day low is a fragile imbalance, and funding cannot be checked because the pack provides no funding rate.
Bitcoin under $66,000 and an exploit-driven risk headline are poor liquidity weather. GRT’s 45.4% distance from the 60-day high tells me the market is repricing risk, not merely pausing.
I side with the bears, and the decisive exhibit is GRT’s 63.3% long-account share against a price only 2.0% above the $0.01608 60-day low. The positive MACD histogram is too small and contracting to defeat the broader bearish structure. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above the SMA20, specifically a move above approximately $0.01755 implied by the current price being 6.4% below it.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. GRT sits 6.4% below SMA20, 11.9% below SMA50, and 36.6% below SMA200; the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -28.1%. RSI(14) at 32.3 and a contracting positive MACD histogram suggest a weak bounce attempt, not a repaired trend.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 33, while 63.3% of accounts are long and the long/short ratio is 1.73. That is fearful price action with optimistic positioning underneath it—a clean setup for long liquidation if $0.01608 fails.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Neutral-to-bearish. The local headlines are dominated by speculative price-prediction and promotional articles, while broader headlines flag a 99% stablecoin collapse after a $1 million exploit and Bitcoin below $66,000. Nothing here supplies a credible catalyst to reverse GRT’s trend.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Limited fundamental evidence is supplied. The pack names Messari’s Q4 2025 State of The Graph, but provides no adoption, revenue, token-emission, or valuation figures to support a fundamental re-rating.
98f94da8c9be9e8fefb91551c132c41100cf47fbf23978d8a801a1cca73cc03bd60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25