GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
RSI 26.2 offers a fragile bounce setup while GRT sits 40.8% below its 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-16 01:14 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above 0.01355 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01317 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 26.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 26. Key support to defend sits near $0.01317. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: GRT is 40.8% below SMA200 and down 21.1% over 30 days. But RSI at 26.2 is washed-out territory, and the positive, expanding MACD histogram says the sellers’ engine is sputtering; with price only 2.3% above the 60-day low, the bad news may already be heavily priced.
Leo, that 26.2 RSI is not a floor—it’s a receipt for sustained damage. Your MACD flicker has not reclaimed even SMA20, while 63.7% of accounts remain long and takers buy at only 0.92; the nearest meaningful structure is 0.01317, not a heroic rebound.
I think the bearish ruling leaves upside underpriced: RSI is 26.2, MACD histogram is expanding positively, and spot is only 2.3% above 0.01317. A rebound that merely reaches the 60-day high of 0.02059 would still be a 34.6% recovery from current levels.
The fastest failure is a break of 0.01317. The fragile exhibit is the positive MACD histogram, because it has not offset losses of 6.7% in seven days and 21.1% in thirty; long accounts at 63.7% could add selling pressure if support gives way.
I think Leo overreaches on the MACD and Mara overreaches if she treats RSI as meaningless. The deciding condition is whether GRT holds 0.01317 and then clears 0.01355; the settled record favors the bear desk, with 5 WIN and 0 LOSS for shown underweight calls, though three were pushes.
· oversold rebound from RSI 26.2
· positive MACD reversal
· broad Bitcoin-led crypto liquidity
Invalidation: A sustained close above 0.01355 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 0.01317 low is just 2.3% beneath spot at 0.01347. If that support holds, a mean-reversion burst toward 0.01355 and beyond can punish anyone treating oversold as irrelevant.
Leo, the same proximity proves the danger: there’s almost no cushion before the 60-day low fails. A 26.2 RSI did not prevent 7-day weakness of 6.7% or 30-day weakness of 21.1%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.01317 low is just 2.3% beneath spot at 0.01347. If that support holds, a mean-reversion burst toward 0.01355 and beyond can punish anyone treating oversold as irrelevant.
Leo, the same proximity proves the danger: there’s almost no cushion before the 60-day low fails. A 26.2 RSI did not prevent 7-day weakness of 6.7% or 30-day weakness of 21.1%.
I’m with Mara on the crowding: 63.7% longs and a 1.76 ratio are not capitulation. Taker flow at 0.92 says the marginal order flow still favors sellers, and funding cannot be used to rescue the bullish case because it isn’t provided.
I see no macro-specific bid for GRT in these headlines. UBS’s Bitcoin options activity may support broad crypto sentiment, but a token 40.8% below SMA200 needs its own liquidity impulse, not borrowed optimism.
I rule for the bear case: underweight is the winning side, and the decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure—price is 40.8% below SMA200 while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 29.3%. My ruling is overturned by a sustained move above 0.01355 accompanied by RSI(14) reclaiming 50; until then, the 0.01317 low is the immediate failure trigger.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is bearish: GRT is 5.7% below SMA20, 16.3% below SMA50, and 40.8% below SMA200, with the SMA50/SMA200 spread at -29.3%. RSI(14) at 26.2 and an expanding positive MACD histogram hint at a reflex bounce, but 7-day and 30-day losses of 6.7% and 21.1% keep the trend damaged.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 34, while 63.7% of long accounts and a 1.76 long/short ratio show that fear has not cleared the crowd. Taker buy/sell at 0.92 leans defensive; funding is unavailable, and StockTwits supplied zero messages.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines are generic price forecasts, exchange data, and broad crypto coverage rather than a GRT-specific catalyst. Bitcoin ETF-call activity and a Unitree IPO story may lift market attention, but neither directly repairs GRT’s chart.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no fresh protocol, adoption, revenue, or token-supply figures for The Graph. Without a fundamental catalyst, the verdict rests on persistent technical weakness and crowded long exposure.
8d95b4105e3600b4482d3c96c2696608d1e23f595b2ac3b0f0aab771bd392f3feaff5f24ed3adac83e409d856a55f50f8d212bab4f7befa37a3192bd7340acc9Committed 2026-08-17T00:20:00+00:00 · 89 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23