GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT’s 0.01667 rebound sits below the long-term trend as greed reaches 68
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-29 01:26 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above 0.01946 with RSI14 above 60 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01297 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.01297. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. I’ll concede the ugly number: GRT sits 24.0% below SMA200 and the SMA50 trails SMA200 by 28.8%. But the tape has already climbed 11.4% in 30 days and 8.8% above SMA20; that long-term wreckage is stale overhead, while RSI at 56.2 leaves room before momentum gets overheated. Our underweight calls on August 20 and 21 lost as GRT outperformed BTC by 9.9% and 8.2%, so the recent record proves this coin can run through a bearish narrative.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s 11.4% rally is precisely the bait: price is now leaning into greed at 68 while 63.3% of accounts are long, yet takers still register only 0.98 on buy/sell. The August 20 and 21 underweight losses are facts, but they don’t erase the current 24.0% gap below SMA200 or the -28.8% moving-average structure. A bounce into damaged resistance is not a trend reversal; it’s hopium wearing a green candlestick.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: the 60-day low at 0.01297 is 28.4% below spot, leaving substantial downside if crowded longs unwind. The 0.98 taker buy/sell ratio says the crowd’s bullishness already lacks aggressive follow-through.
I’m worried this call blows up fastest through the same momentum the ruling discounts: GRT is up 11.4% over 30 days and 8.8% above SMA20. The fragile exhibit is the long-term moving-average gap, because price can keep running before repairing it.
I’m the neutral desk. The bearish side overreaches if it treats SMA200 as an immediate ceiling, while the bullish side overreaches if it treats 11.4% as proof of regime change. The deciding condition is a sustained break of 0.01946; below it, the -28.8% SMA50/SMA200 structure stays in control.
· short-term momentum continuation
· crowded-long squeeze
· thin fundamental evidence
Invalidation: A sustained close above 0.01946 with RSI14 above 60 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.01297 and price is already 28.4% above it. That’s accumulation behavior, not a coin falling through the floor.
Leo, the same exhibit says resistance is 0.01946, still 14.4% above price. Until GRT reclaims that ceiling, your accumulation story is an inference built on distance from a low.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.01297 and price is already 28.4% above it. That’s accumulation behavior, not a coin falling through the floor.
Leo, the same exhibit says resistance is 0.01946, still 14.4% above price. Until GRT reclaims that ceiling, your accumulation story is an inference built on distance from a low.
I’m Theo Okafor. Long accounts at 63.3% and an L/S ratio of 1.73 are crowded, while taker buy/sell at 0.98 is mildly defensive. That’s poor fuel for a clean breakout, and funding is unavailable, so nobody gets to invent confirmation.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. The macro headlines offer GRT no liquidity impulse, and the chart remains 24.0% below SMA200. A 30-day gain of 11.4% can be a relief rally inside a larger downtrend.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bear thesis wins on the decisive exhibit, GRT’s 24.0% deficit to SMA200 reinforced by a -28.8% SMA50/SMA200 spread. The recent August 20 and 21 underweight losses of +9.9% and +8.2% versus BTC make this call different only because today’s pack shows greed at 68, 63.3% longs, a 0.98 taker ratio, and no reclaim of 0.01946. I overturn the ruling if GRT closes above 0.01946 with RSI14 sustaining above 60.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. GRT is 8.8% above SMA20 and 6.7% above SMA50, but still 24.0% below SMA200. RSI14 at 56.2 is constructive, while the bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread of -28.8% and contracting MACD histogram at +0.0002803 keep the larger chart damaged.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Greed is already 68, with 63.3% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.73; taker buy/sell at 0.98 shows buyers aren’t confirming that crowding. The single bullish StockTwits message is too thin to matter.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The listed GRT headlines are mostly prediction, listing, and promotional material, with no concrete catalyst in the pack that changes token demand. The broader headlines concern Kalshi and Solana, not The Graph.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The data pack provides no fresh issuance, unlock, revenue, staking, or network-usage figures for GRT. Without a fundamental growth exhibit, the 24.0% discount to SMA200 remains the dominant structural fact.
04086141bf4eda7eb0fdbd0bce60326c14eaee8afa8f64ec5f4b8614fc1acc9badde2046047c35b2be3d774c5e58080e229d71d404353d96fdaed9f2e1bcf4e2Committed 2026-08-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 91 rulings that day · Check the chain
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