GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT’s 60.8 RSI bounce meets a -26.7% SMA200 gap and crowded optimism
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-23 01:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above 0.01946, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01297 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s 23.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s 23. Key support to defend sits near $0.01297. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly exhibit: GRT is still 26.7% under SMA200 and the 60-day high at 0.01946 is 16.3% away. But the tape has already put 23.0% on the board in seven days, price is 13.2% above SMA20, and the MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0004527—this is a live rebound, not a corpse waiting for a chart obituary.
Leo’s 23.0% is precisely the number that makes his case fragile, not strong. That sprint has carried RSI to 60.8 while GRT remains beneath a bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure, and the latest 24-hour move is already -6.803887935963408%. Calling a countertrend burst a regime change is hopium with arithmetic.
· Countertrend momentum extends
· MACD acceleration continues
· Broader crypto liquidity improves
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above 0.01946, the 60-day high.
Mara, you’re treating SMA200 as a prison wall when price has already cleared SMA20 by 13.2%. A market that can run 23.0% in seven days can reach 0.01946 before your long-term averages catch up.
Leo, 0.01946 is still 16.3% overhead, while the latest candle closed at 0.01628 after trading as low as 0.01617. Your upside target requires the rebound to defeat both distance and a -29.5% SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating SMA200 as a prison wall when price has already cleared SMA20 by 13.2%. A market that can run 23.0% in seven days can reach 0.01946 before your long-term averages catch up.
Leo, 0.01946 is still 16.3% overhead, while the latest candle closed at 0.01628 after trading as low as 0.01617. Your upside target requires the rebound to defeat both distance and a -29.5% SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread.
Leo, the crowd isn’t confirming the move: 65.5% of long accounts and a 1.90 L/S ratio already lean the same way, while taker buy/sell is 0.91. I can’t confirm funding because the pack supplies no funding rate, but the available flow data is not bullish.
Mara has the macro-shaped problem right: the headlines feature exchange stress and a bridge exploit, not fresh liquidity. A 66 Fear & Greed reading leaves less room for a clean upside surprise if the wider crypto bid fades.
Dmitri, those are sector headlines, not a GRT-specific failure. The 60-day low at 0.01297 is 25.5% below price, so the chart still has a meaningful cushion beneath this rebound.
I rule for the bear side: underweight wins because the bearish moving-average structure is the decisive exhibit, with SMA50 29.5% below SMA200 while the crowd is already tilted long. The ruling is overturned by a sustained break above 0.01946, or by a decisive RSI move above 70 accompanied by continued price strength.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish overall. GRT is 13.2% above SMA20 with MACD histogram expanding at +0.0004527, but it remains 26.7% below SMA200 and SMA50 sits 29.5% below SMA200. The 0.01946 60-day high is resistance; 0.01297 is the major downside reference.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish from a contrarian crowding lens. Fear & Greed is 66, long accounts are 65.5% with a 1.90 L/S ratio, and taker buy/sell is only 0.91. The bullish StockTwits sample is 4-0, but it contains just four messages, so that evidence is thin.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The GRT headlines are mostly forecast and promotional pieces, including a “5 Reasons to Buy” article and a Robinhood Crypto listing headline. The broader tape offers no clean GRT catalyst: BitMart is weighing a partial restart while Sandbox halted bridges after an exploit.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The pack provides no token-supply, revenue, network-usage, or valuation data. A long-horizon fundamental verdict is therefore unavailable; the actionable evidence is technical and behavioral.
01882a45c61f97afdf87d8a4d596b1ad329103f4927cbb943b9137c15a29983f8dcc587613f29d0d57db9e6584607b513023911e8f47308581cffaaf7659dcc3Committed 2026-08-24T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24