GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits at $0.01444, only 2.7% above its 60-day low as the bearish structure dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-09 01:06 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained break above $0.01449 followed by recovery over the $0.01448 session open would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01405 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo is dressing a tiny MACD histogram in a superhero cape.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo is dressing a tiny MACD histogram in a superhero cape. Key support to defend sits near $0.01405. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: GRT is 38.7% below SMA200 and down 18.1% over 30 days. But RSI at 32.0 is already pressing exhaustion territory, the expanding MACD histogram is turning the engine back on, and price is just 2.7% above $0.01405 support—this looks like a stretched spring, not fresh air beneath the floor.
Leo is dressing a tiny MACD histogram in a superhero cape. His $0.01405 support is only 2.7% below price, while the market still sits below every major average: -4.7% versus SMA20, -14.0% versus SMA50, and -38.7% versus SMA200; that is a damaged trend, not a bargain receipt.
I think the bearish ruling leaves more upside underpriced than it admits: RSI is 32.0, MACD histogram is expanding at +6.569e-05, and support is only $0.01405 away. A move back toward even the $0.01449 high would already challenge the claim that sellers control every inch.
The fastest failure is a clean break of $0.01405. That level is just 2.7% below $0.01444, and the fragile exhibit is the oversold argument: RSI at 32.0 can stay weak while the 30-day drawdown remains 18.1%. The settled record reinforces the downside case, with 5 WIN and 0 LOSS across the shown directional calls.
The aggressive desk overreaches on the tiny MACD improvement; the conservative desk overreaches only if it treats the settled record as a guarantee. The deciding condition is whether $0.01405 holds—above it, the 32.0 RSI rebound case lives; below it, the bearish structure wins decisively.
· RSI rebound from 32.0
· expanding MACD histogram
· crowded long accounts forced out
Invalidation: A sustained break above $0.01449 followed by recovery over the $0.01448 session open would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 32.0 RSI says sellers have already spent ammunition. A rebound from $0.01405 needs very little enthusiasm to hurt the bearish thesis.
Leo, oversold is not a floor—it’s a speedometer reading. The 30-day loss is still 18.1%, and the 60-day high at $0.02148 is 32.8% away, so the burden is on the bounce.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 32.0 RSI says sellers have already spent ammunition. A rebound from $0.01405 needs very little enthusiasm to hurt the bearish thesis.
Leo, oversold is not a floor—it’s a speedometer reading. The 30-day loss is still 18.1%, and the 60-day high at $0.02148 is 32.8% away, so the burden is on the bounce.
Leo gets one clean point: the tape is not showing aggressive taker pressure, with buy/sell at 1.00. But 67.8% long accounts and a 2.10 L/S ratio leave the crowd leaning into the wrong weather.
Theo’s crowding matters more than the hopeful histogram. With no funding data, I won’t invent a liquidity signal, but the macro headlines provide no catalyst capable of repairing a trend this far below SMA200.
I rule for the bear side. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure: price is 38.7% below SMA200 and SMA50 is 28.7% below SMA200. The call is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.01449 that develops into a recovery through the $0.01448 session open and, more importantly, breaks the declining average structure.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is bearish: price is 4.7% below SMA20, 14.0% below SMA50, and 38.7% below SMA200, with SMA50 trailing SMA200 by 28.7%. RSI at 32.0 and a 60-day low of $0.01405 show compressed downside, while the expanding MACD histogram at +6.569e-05 is the main countertrend clue.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd sentiment is bearish but not cleanly washed out: Fear&Greed is 31, while long accounts still represent 67.8% and the L/S ratio is 2.10. Taker buy/sell at 1.00 and zero bullish or bearish StockTwits tags from one message provide little confirmation; the evidence is bearish, with long-side crowding as the conflict.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The supplied headlines offer no GRT-specific catalyst. Coverage is dominated by generic price-conversion and prediction pages, while Bitcoin's BIP-110 soft-fork attempt and Russian hardware-wallet demand are broader crypto or regulatory signals rather than direct GRT drivers.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no token-supply, usage, revenue, staking, or protocol-growth figures for The Graph. Fundamental evidence is therefore insufficient to offset the technical decline from $0.02148 to $0.01444.
d28b15160bcbb1efda4ec14173c35e29ba6b6dcf2051d6459bfbdd518cfbf036Not yet committed. Today's rulings are hashed into the chain after the daily run — until then this report has a fingerprint but no chain entry. · Check the chain
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2026-08-08 · 2026-08-06 · 2026-08-05 · 2026-08-04 · 2026-08-03 · 2026-08-02 · 2026-08-01 · 2026-07-31