GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits at $0.01359 with RSI 28.0, but its bearish structure still dominates the bounce case
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-15 01:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of SMA20, approximately $0.01434, after current price is $0.01359.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01317 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that RSI reading doesn’t erase the chart; it confirms sellers have control while price sits below every major average.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that RSI reading doesn’t erase the chart; it confirms sellers have control while price sits below every major average. Key support to defend sits near $0.01317. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: GRT is 40.6% below its SMA200 and down 20.9% over 30 days. But RSI at 28.0 is a pressure valve already hissing, the MACD histogram is expanding at +0.00001155, and price is just 3.1% above the 60-day low—this is where stale downside can get punished by a snapback.
Leo, that RSI reading doesn’t erase the chart; it confirms sellers have control while price sits below every major average. Your MACD flicker is microscopic against a -29.3% SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure, and a 60-day low at $0.01317 is not support until it actually holds.
I see more downside than the ruling admits: the 60-day high is $0.02059, 34.0% above price, while the 60-day low is only 3.1% below; failure near $0.01317 could expose a fresh leg lower. The 61.0% long-account share is still fuel for disappointment.
The fastest failure is a relief rally from RSI 28.0: MACD histogram is expanding at +0.00001155 and taker buy/sell is 1.04. The fragile exhibit is extrapolating the 20.9% monthly drop despite price sitting close to the $0.01317 low.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating absent funding data as proof of downside fuel, while the conservative desk underweights the -29.3% SMA50–SMA200 structure. The deciding condition is whether GRT reclaims the SMA20 area near $0.01434 or breaks $0.01317.
· Oversold RSI rebound
· Expanding positive MACD histogram
· Unverified funding-rate conditions
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of SMA20, approximately $0.01434, after current price is $0.01359.
Mara, the exact low is $0.01317 and price is $0.01359—only $0.00042 away. A failed breakdown here would make the crowded bearish narrative late.
Leo, the crowd isn’t bearish enough for that story: 61.0% of accounts are long, with an L/S ratio of 1.56. That is trapped optimism, not clean capitulation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the exact low is $0.01317 and price is $0.01359—only $0.00042 away. A failed breakdown here would make the crowded bearish narrative late.
Leo, the crowd isn’t bearish enough for that story: 61.0% of accounts are long, with an L/S ratio of 1.56. That is trapped optimism, not clean capitulation.
I’ll sharpen Mara’s point: taker buy/sell at 1.04 is only mildly positive, while funding is unavailable, so nobody can prove short-side crowding. The observable asymmetry is long-account exposure against a 20.9% monthly slide.
And the macro headlines offer GRT no liquidity-specific rescue. Until price reclaims $0.01359 decisively and then repairs the moving-average stack, a token-specific rebound is fighting the tape.
I rule for the bear thesis: GRT is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure—price is 40.6% below SMA200 and SMA50 trails SMA200 by 29.3%—with long accounts at 61.0% adding fragile demand. This ruling is overturned by a decisive break and hold below $0.01317 followed by a recovery above the $0.01359 current-price area? No: the clean invalidation is a sustained reclaim of SMA20, which the data places 5.5% above current price, near $0.01434.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
GRT is beneath SMA20 by 5.5%, SMA50 by 16.0%, and SMA200 by 40.6%; the SMA50–SMA200 spread is -29.3%. RSI 28.0 and a 60-day low only 3.1% below price show pressure is stretched, while MACD histogram at +0.00001155 is the first crack in the downside.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 34, but the crowd is leaning long: 61.0% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.56. Taker buy/sell at 1.04 is mildly constructive, yet that optimism is fighting a 20.9% 30-day decline; the lone bullish StockTwits message is negligible.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The GRT-specific headlines are mostly forecast and promotional pieces, including claims of an undervalued 2026 opportunity and reasons to buy into 2026. Broader crypto headlines about Trump’s expected CEO meeting and World Liberty’s conditional bank charter provide no concrete GRT catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no token-economics, network-usage, revenue, or valuation figures for The Graph. The fundamental case therefore rests on narrative headlines rather than measurable operating evidence.
388f3381aac1b366fb7ad4207457542dd7bc0fbe505df1569ece5aa5bbd0a8acb9992f9aaddcb66d097da88829da3966f8938204256939eecd449461ccbccfffCommitted 2026-08-16T00:20:00+00:00 · 96 rulings that day · Check the chain
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