CHZ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
CHZ is pinned near $0.01493, with RSI 26.2 failing to offset a 59.1% gap below the 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-23 00:42 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -11.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.01495 with RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0143 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s springboard is sitting just 4.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s springboard is sitting just 4. Key support to defend sits near $0.0143. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly exhibit: CHZ is 59.1% under SMA200 and has shed 23.6% in 30 days. But RSI at 26.2 is a flare in the fog, and the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.000157; after this much damage, the trade may be priced for extinction, leaving $0.0143 as a springboard rather than a grave.
Leo’s springboard is sitting just 4.2% above the 60-day low, which is precisely why it’s weak evidence, not a reversal. The positive MACD histogram is contracting, while CHZ remains below every major moving average and has just lost 2.16% in 24 hours; oversold is not a buy signal when sellers still control the structure.
· Oversold RSI-driven relief rally
· Fan-token burn or event-driven demand
· Broader crypto liquidity rebound
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.01495 with RSI(14) above 50.
Mara, you’re treating RSI 26.2 like a death certificate. A market that’s already 25.5% below SMA50 can snap hard before your moving averages catch up.
Leo, snaps are trades, not verdicts. Until CHZ reclaims $0.01495 and proves it can hold above the $0.0143 floor, your bounce thesis is a reflex dressed up as a trend change.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating RSI 26.2 like a death certificate. A market that’s already 25.5% below SMA50 can snap hard before your moving averages catch up.
Leo, snaps are trades, not verdicts. Until CHZ reclaims $0.01495 and proves it can hold above the $0.0143 floor, your bounce thesis is a reflex dressed up as a trend change.
Leo, the positioning tape doesn’t back a squeeze: long accounts are 49.9%, L/S is 0.99, and taker buy/sell is only 0.87. That’s balanced exposure with aggressive sellers, not trapped longs waiting to ignite.
Mara, the broader selloff headline matters because liquidity is doing the steering. In a risk-off tape, a fan-token burn or ecosystem expansion needs real flow, and this pack shows none.
Theo, fair—but balanced positioning means the market isn’t overloaded with longs. If price holds $0.0143, that absence of crowding can make a relief rally violent.
I side with Mara: the decisive exhibit is CHZ’s 59.1% discount to SMA200 combined with a 0.87 taker buy/sell ratio. I overturn this bearish ruling only if CHZ reclaims and holds $0.01495 while RSI(14) rises above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: CHZ sits 9.8% below SMA20, 25.5% below SMA50, and 59.1% below SMA200. RSI(14) at 26.2 is oversold, but the SMA50/SMA200 spread at -45.1% keeps the chart structurally bearish; $0.0143 is the line in the sand.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear & Greed at 31 and a 0.87 taker buy/sell ratio show buyers are retreating, not chasing weakness. Long accounts at 49.9% with a 0.99 L/S ratio are nearly balanced, so there is no crowded-long fuel for a squeeze.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headlines offer fan-token burns and Spain-related attention, but they have not stopped CHZ from falling 10.8% in seven days and 23.6% in 30 days. Expansion to Base and Solana has appeared alongside decline headlines, while broader crypto-policy debate remains background noise rather than a catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no fresh token-economics figures, supply schedule, or adoption metrics to support a fundamental rerating. Fan-token publicity and the reported World Cup burn are tangible narratives, but price action shows they are not currently translating into sustained demand.
abafbebd9e76dc979bf748e8008f02b75e0b5cbca93b5b6a9d8fc1449200c41a8624d818ee7811d0e765aa63f60423eb1e28fec5823b0c3f5024085df84084a2Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25