CHZ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
CHZ sits at $0.01676 with RSI 31.4, but the long trend still points lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-16 01:32 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -11.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01686 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01602 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re calling a floor because the stock is standing near the basement.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re calling a floor because the stock is standing near the basement. Key support to defend sits near $0.01602. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: CHZ is down 31.2% over 30 days and trades 66.6% below the 60-day high of $0.05019. But RSI at 31.4 is stretched, the MACD histogram is positive and expanding at +0.0003694, and price is only 4.6% above the $0.01602 60-day low—this is where a dead cat can become a sharp squeeze. The damage is visible and may already be priced in.
Leo, you’re calling a floor because the stock is standing near the basement. The decisive fact is not RSI 31.4; it’s that price sits 55.2% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 39.5% below SMA200, with taker flow at 0.96. A tiny positive MACD histogram inside that downtrend is lipstick on a liquidation chart, not evidence of reversal.
· oversold rebound from $0.01602
· positive MACD acceleration
· extreme-fear short squeeze
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01686 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the $0.01602 low is only 4.6% away, and RSI 31.4 gives sellers less room before reflexive buying appears. If CHZ reclaims $0.01686, your trend thesis gets squeezed quickly.
Leo, reclaiming $0.01686 only clears today’s high; it does not repair a 25.9% SMA50 discount or a 55.2% SMA200 discount. Your bounce case needs follow-through, not a one-candle escape hatch.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the $0.01602 low is only 4.6% away, and RSI 31.4 gives sellers less room before reflexive buying appears. If CHZ reclaims $0.01686, your trend thesis gets squeezed quickly.
Leo, reclaiming $0.01686 only clears today’s high; it does not repair a 25.9% SMA50 discount or a 55.2% SMA200 discount. Your bounce case needs follow-through, not a one-candle escape hatch.
Leo, the crowd isn’t washed out: 55.1% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.23. With taker buy/sell below parity at 0.96, I see trapped dip-buyers, not clean squeeze fuel.
Mara, I’m with you on regime: the 30-day loss is 31.2%, and the headline blockchain milestones haven’t translated into CHZ demand. Until liquidity can lift price back above $0.01686 and hold it, macro gravity wins.
I rule for the bears, based on the 55.2% discount to SMA200 and the 39.5% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. RSI 31.4 and positive MACD are rebound evidence, but they do not outweigh the dominant trend and still-long positioning. I invalidate this ruling on a sustained reclaim above $0.01686 with RSI above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. Price is 4.3% below SMA20, 25.9% below SMA50, and 55.2% below SMA200; the SMA50 sits 39.5% below the SMA200. RSI 31.4 and MACD histogram +0.0003694 suggest an oversold bounce attempt inside a damaged structure. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, RSI, MACD, multi-period returns, support/resistance; conflicts: expanding positive MACD histogram and RSI near oversold; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 25, long accounts still lead at 55.1% with a 1.23 long/short ratio, and taker buy/sell is only 0.96. That is fear on the surface but not capitulation in positioning—crowded longs are still available as supply. Direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear & Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: extreme fear can fuel a rebound; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Neutral to mixed. Tokenized securities moving into live trading, plus Cantor-Securitize IPO work, supports the broader blockchain narrative. The Base leadership setback and the $18 million Ostium exploit keep crypto-specific headlines defensive, while none directly changes CHZ demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Neutral. The data pack provides no CHZ-specific token-economics, adoption, revenue, unlock, or supply metrics. Broader blockchain infrastructure progress is not enough to establish a months-long CHZ fundamental bid.
32ada94f14c481aad9d4d1336c14d9a2226507bf964648d45c032f1f1ff5ecee6da543ec34b237c483d95fc9d70813ee7d11bb2d47e02a9a1b3e1847a4282badCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25