CHZ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
CHZ sits at $0.01541, just 0.7% above its 60-day low as the downtrend tightens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-19 07:16 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
C
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -11.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A close above $0.01577 accompanied by RSI14 above 30 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0153 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: an oversold RSI is not a reversal, and your positive MACD histogram is contracting.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: an oversold RSI is not a reversal, and your positive MACD histogram is contracting. Key support to defend sits near $0.0153. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: CHZ is 58.4% under SMA200 and parked only 0.7% above the 60-day low. But RSI14 at 25.3 is a stretched spring, while the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.0002329; the market may have already priced in the wreckage, setting up a sharp relief bounce.
Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: an oversold RSI is not a reversal, and your positive MACD histogram is contracting. Price is still 10.1% below SMA20, 28.5% below SMA50, and 66.4% beneath the 60-day high—your spring is pressed against the floor, not launching.
· Oversold RSI14 at 25.3 triggers a relief bounce
· Crowded mild longs create a squeeze if $0.01577 breaks
· Unlisted CHZ-specific catalyst
Invalidation: A close above $0.01577 accompanied by RSI14 above 30 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.0153 and the last close is $0.01541; sellers barely extended the breakdown. With Fear&Greed at 28, a small shift in crowd psychology can move this quickly.
Leo, buyers aren’t showing that shift: taker buy/sell is 0.83, so aggressive sellers still lead. And 52.4% long accounts means dip-buyers are already standing in the way of a clean washout.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.0153 and the last close is $0.01541; sellers barely extended the breakdown. With Fear&Greed at 28, a small shift in crowd psychology can move this quickly.
Leo, buyers aren’t showing that shift: taker buy/sell is 0.83, so aggressive sellers still lead. And 52.4% long accounts means dip-buyers are already standing in the way of a clean washout.
I’ll cut through both stories: the 1.10 L/S ratio and 52.4% long accounts show mild long bias, while 0.83 taker flow favors sellers. That positioning is not a bullish squeeze profile; it is vulnerable long exposure beneath a weak tape.
I see no macro or liquidity catalyst in the headlines that specifically redirects capital into CHZ. Payments headlines may lift the sector’s narrative, but CHZ remains tethered to its own collapsing averages.
I award the ruling to the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is CHZ’s price sitting 58.4% below SMA200 while takers sell at a 0.83 buy/sell ratio. I’m treating RSI14 at 25.3 as bounce fuel, not trend repair. My ruling is overturned only if price reclaims $0.01577 and RSI14 rises above 30.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. I see price 10.1% below SMA20, 28.5% below SMA50, and 58.4% below SMA200, with the SMA50 trailing the SMA200 by 41.8%. RSI14 at 25.3 and a contracting positive MACD histogram offer a snapback setup, but the moving-average structure still points lower.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. I’m seeing Fear&Greed at 28, taker buy/sell at 0.83, and only a modest long-account majority at 52.4% with a 1.10 L/S ratio. That is fear with residual dip-buying—not the clean capitulation that usually powers a durable reversal.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Neutral. I find no headline in this pack directly tied to CHZ or Chiliz; the Zcash, Polymarket, payments, and Bitcoin governance stories do not provide a verified coin-specific catalyst. The broader stablecoin and payments theme is relevant to crypto, but it does not repair CHZ’s chart.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Neutral. I have no token-supply, revenue, adoption, or Chiliz-specific fundamental figures in the pack to support a long-term rerating. The available payments headlines are thematic, not evidence of CHZ demand.
fab58b083dce21a0afb4c3a0284e37a2cd726d51cc5e7a63f698ba7b93e94225f4fc7312c5be5f7d7eea56f69a8be2b8607d9ddd9672db388d49defd4b1498d1Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25