CHZ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
CHZ sits at $0.01468, just 2.7% above its 60-day low as the downtrend tightens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:46 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
D
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -11.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained daily close above $0.0170 with RSI(14) above 40 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0143 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “grenade” is still rolling downhill.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “grenade” is still rolling downhill. Key support to defend sits near $0.0143. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: CHZ is down 32.4% in 30 days and RSI is crushed at 22.7. But that’s the point—the grenade has already gone off; a contracting MACD histogram at +0.0001432 and a $0.0143 floor leave room for a violent snapback if fear turns.
Leo, your “grenade” is still rolling downhill. RSI 22.7 has not stopped CHZ from sitting 13.4% below SMA20 and 30.6% below SMA50, while takers buy at only 0.82; calling oversold a reversal is just hopium wearing a prop-trader jacket.
· Oversold RSI bounce from $0.0143
· Robinhood access and fan-token headlines
· Broad crypto liquidity rebound
Invalidation: A sustained daily close above $0.0170 with RSI(14) above 40 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.0143 and price is $0.01468—only 2.7% above it. One defended low can turn your orderly collapse into a squeeze.
Leo, a level is not support until buyers prove it. The 7-day loss is still 10.4%, and the SMA50 sits 42.7% below the SMA200—the chart is a staircase with missing steps.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.0143 and price is $0.01468—only 2.7% above it. One defended low can turn your orderly collapse into a squeeze.
Leo, a level is not support until buyers prove it. The 7-day loss is still 10.4%, and the SMA50 sits 42.7% below the SMA200—the chart is a staircase with missing steps.
Leo, positioning doesn’t confirm your squeeze: longs are 50.7%, the L/S ratio is 1.03, and taker flow is 0.82. That is mild long exposure leaning into a seller-dominated market, not fuel I’d trust.
Mara’s case fits the macro tape. Bitcoin below $64,000 amid oil strength and an AI-led risk-off shock means liquidity is not volunteering for a CHZ rescue.
I award the ruling to the bears, and the decisive exhibit is CHZ trading 30.6% below SMA50 while taker buy/sell sits at 0.82. I would overturn this verdict only on a sustained daily close above $0.0170 with RSI(14) reclaiming 40.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. CHZ is 13.4% below SMA20, 30.6% below SMA50, and 60.2% below SMA200, with the SMA50 sitting 42.7% below the SMA200. RSI(14) at 22.7 may spark a bounce, but MACD histogram at +0.0001432 is contracting and price is pressing the $0.0143 low.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 29 and taker buy/sell is only 0.82, showing sellers still control the tape. Long accounts edge ahead at 50.7% with an L/S ratio of 1.03, so the crowd is not washed out enough to create a clean contrarian squeeze.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Mixed but ineffective. Robinhood access, Spain’s World Cup win, and the fan-token burn program offer headline support, yet CHZ still fell 4.24% in 24 hours and 32.4% over 30 days. The broader tape is also hostile, with oil strength and the AI selloff pushing Bitcoin below $64,000.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Expansion to Base and Solana, Robinhood availability, and national-team token burns improve distribution and token-market activity. But the data pack provides no quantified adoption, revenue, or burn impact, while the token remains 66.6% below its 60-day high of $0.04396.
2eda0906d5ad4f9929bdbd6fa7ae2081f48148deb335d0d037aa82219c0f3ffebb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25