CHZ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
CHZ at $0.01494 sits just 4.3% above its 60-day low as bearish momentum dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:30 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -9.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -11.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -11.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01526 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0143 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that spring is still buried under a 25.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that spring is still buried under a 25. Key support to defend sits near $0.0143. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: CHZ is 59.2% below its SMA200 and only 4.3% above the 60-day low. But RSI at 26.3 is a compressed spring, and the positive MACD histogram at 0.0001571 says sellers may be running out of fuel; this can be a rebound trade before it becomes a trend reversal.
Leo, that spring is still buried under a 25.2% 30-day collapse and a 10.7% gap below SMA20. Your MACD number is contracting, not accelerating, while the price is parked near $0.0143 support—oversold is a condition, not a buy signal.
· RSI(14) 26.3 can fuel a sharp relief bounce
· Positive MACD histogram at 0.0001571
· Fan-token burn catalysts
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01526 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 1.07 taker buy/sell ratio shows buyers are at least probing the lows. A move through $0.01526 would force the short thesis to chase.
Theo, that probe has produced a 1.775% 24-hour loss, and Leo’s breakout level is merely today’s high. With SMA50 sitting 44.3% below SMA200, one green candle would be hopium wearing a tie.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 1.07 taker buy/sell ratio shows buyers are at least probing the lows. A move through $0.01526 would force the short thesis to chase.
Theo, that probe has produced a 1.775% 24-hour loss, and Leo’s breakout level is merely today’s high. With SMA50 sitting 44.3% below SMA200, one green candle would be hopium wearing a tie.
I’m with Mara on the tape: Bitcoin under $66,000 and the stablecoin exploit are liquidity warnings, not background decoration. CHZ’s beta gets punished when crypto capital retreats.
Dmitri, positioning isn’t crowded long—49.7% long accounts and a 0.99 ratio leave no obvious long liquidation trap. That helps a bounce, but it doesn’t defeat the chart’s lower-high structure.
I rule for the bears, with the decisive exhibit being CHZ’s 59.2% discount to the SMA200 alongside a 25.2% 30-day decline. The upside case needs a real reclaim, not an oversold reading; a sustained break above $0.01526 overturns my ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 26.3; price 10.7% below SMA20, 26.8% below SMA50, and 59.2% below SMA200; 7-day loss of 10.8%. Conflicts: MACD histogram is positive at 0.0001571 but contracting. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed 33; 49.7% long accounts with a 0.99 long/short ratio; taker buy/sell 1.07. Conflicts: slightly positive taker flow. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines offer fan-token spectacle, not durable demand: Spain’s burn is a narrow catalyst, while CHZ has declined amid Base and Solana expansion and the broader crypto selloff. Bitcoin below $66,000 and a $1 million exploit draining a stablecoin vault reinforce a hostile risk backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Chiliz is expanding across Base and Solana, but the data pack supplies no adoption, revenue, or token-demand figures to prove that expansion offsets the price damage. The Spain fan-token burn is supportive optics, not evidence of a broad CHZ revaluation.
dbde568a936923a647a452629ecf340bd5bee6ac43bdfbb5e4fb5ec0da41cfeed60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25