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ALGO / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-30 01:00 UTC
$0.09
+0.70% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-30 01:00 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-30 — latest verdict → ALGO
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

ALGO’s 0.0877 bounce is boxed beneath 0.1049 as the 50/200-day spread sits at -11.8%

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-30 01:00 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
7W–10L–8P · 5 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 21.6–64.0% · n=17 · early sample
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
2026-08-27 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-25 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-01
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · ALGO price $0.0928 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · ALGO price $0.0847 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-8.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · ALGO price $0.0941 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · ALGO price $0.0877 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · ALGO price $0.0822 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · ALGO price $0.08955 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · ALGO price $0.07972 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · ALGO price $0.0941 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · ALGO price $0.07901 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · ALGO price $0.0822 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · ALGO price $0.08717 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · ALGO price $0.07972 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · ALGO price $0.08893 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · ALGO price $0.07955 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-7.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · ALGO price $0.08768 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · ALGO price $0.07865 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-9.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · ALGO price $0.08813 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · ALGO price $0.07901 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-8.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · ALGO price $0.08938 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · ALGO price $0.08089 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-8.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · ALGO price $0.09107 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · ALGO price $0.08257 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-9.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · ALGO price $0.08679 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · ALGO price $0.08251 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-7.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · ALGO price $0.07891 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · ALGO price $0.08717 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+7.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · ALGO price $0.07889 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · ALGO price $0.08893 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
+9.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · ALGO price $0.08082 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · ALGO price $0.08768 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+7.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · ALGO price $0.07702 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · ALGO price $0.08813 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+13.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · ALGO price $0.08038 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · ALGO price $0.08938 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+11.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · ALGO price $0.07992 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · ALGO price $0.09107 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+14.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · ALGO price $0.0846 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · ALGO price $0.08679 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · ALGO price $0.08409 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · ALGO price $0.07891 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · ALGO price $0.08598 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · ALGO price $0.07889 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · ALGO price $0.08284 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · ALGO price $0.08082 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · ALGO price $0.0844 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · ALGO price $0.07702 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · ALGO price $0.08351 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · ALGO price $0.08038 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · ALGO price $0.0831 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · ALGO price $0.07992 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · ALGO price $0.0818 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · ALGO price $0.0846 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
+1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · ALGO price $0.0829 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · ALGO price $0.08409 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
+1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · ALGO price $0.082 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · ALGO price $0.08284 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-0.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · ALGO price $0.085 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · ALGO price $0.0844 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · ALGO price $0.0842 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · ALGO price $0.08447 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.0877 +0.7% 24h
60d high0.10494 -16.5%
60d low0.07559 +15.9%
RSI(14)51.7
vs 200d SMA -8.6%
30d change +11.2%
Funding (net) +0.06 bp/8h
Fear & Greed69 · Greed
Long accounts58.8% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)0 bull / 1 bear · 1 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?
Aggressive desk
Conservative desk
Neutral desk

Invalidation: The bearish call is invalidated by a sustained break above 0.1049, especially if RSI rises above 60 with expanding MACD momentum.

⚔ Key clashes
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.07559
Key resistance$0.1049
InvalidationThe bearish call is invalidated by a sustained break above 0.1049, especially if RSI rises above 60 with expanding MACD momentum.
Main risksRobinhood relisting and AI-agent adoption accelerate demand30-day +11.2% rebound develops into a trend reversalBroad crypto rally lifts ALGO back toward 0.1049
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I see a short-term rebound above SMA20 (+2.4%) and SMA50 (+3.7%), but ALGO remains 8.6% below SMA200. RSI is only 51.7, while the contracting MACD histogram and bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure leave the dominant trend damaged.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I read a greed-heavy crowd: Fear&Greed is 69, long accounts are 58.8%, and the L/S ratio is 1.43. Taker buy/sell at 0.88 tilts against aggressive demand, though the single-message StockTwits sample is too thin to matter.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m seeing a genuine catalyst mix, with Robinhood relisting ALGO and a new protocol for AI agents. But the broader tape is still narrative-led: the reported crypto rally lifted ALGO 3.23%, while headlines about a $1.1 million card hack show how quickly token sentiment can crack.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I view the AI-agent protocol as a constructive adoption signal, and Robinhood’s relisting improves access and visibility. The pack provides no token-supply, revenue, usage, or valuation figures, so the fundamental case cannot yet outweigh the damaged long-term price structure.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
5d2bb969aa18b26e408c59dcdff36a34d074276febbba51bc16a46582a731da2
UTC date
2026-08-30
Chain head
0071e3de26d06e3c755183e93ee239d43345bcb211c72f3e329230375244b41b

Committed 2026-08-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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