ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO at $0.08701 faces a 17.2% climb back to the 60-day high while sellers control the tape
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-29 01:10 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.1049 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.07559 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 10.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your 10. Key support to defend sits near $0.07559. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: ALGO is 9.3% under its SMA200 and down 5.9% over seven days. But that damage is already visible in the price, while the coin is still 2.0% above SMA20, 3.0% above SMA50, up 10.2% over 30 days, and backed by fresh AI-agent infrastructure and a Robinhood relisting.
Leo, your 10.2% monthly gain is precisely the problem, not the rescue: it has failed to reclaim the 60-day high at $0.1049 and is now down 5.193% in 24 hours. A price sitting under the SMA200 with the SMA50 11.9% below it is not “priced in”; it is a damaged trend wearing a short-term bounce as camouflage.
· AI-agent launches generate unexpected adoption
· Robinhood relisting expands demand
· short-term rebound from the $0.07559 low
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.1049 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 as a verdict when RSI at 50.7 says the market isn’t deeply oversold. A move from $0.08701 toward the $0.1049 high only needs the catalyst to catch up with the chart.
Leo, RSI 50.7 is neutral, not a catalyst. The 0.84 taker buy/sell ratio and 61.6% long-account share show that the crowd is leaning into a drop while price remains 17.2% below resistance.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 as a verdict when RSI at 50.7 says the market isn’t deeply oversold. A move from $0.08701 toward the $0.1049 high only needs the catalyst to catch up with the chart.
Leo, RSI 50.7 is neutral, not a catalyst. The 0.84 taker buy/sell ratio and 61.6% long-account share show that the crowd is leaning into a drop while price remains 17.2% below resistance.
I’ll sharpen Mara’s point: Fear&Greed at 68 paired with a 1.60 L/S ratio is poor asymmetry for the bulls. Funding is unavailable, so I won’t invent a crowding premium—but taker flow is already net-hostile.
And I’m not granting the AI headline a liquidity exemption. The broader altcoin weakness is the news catalyst in the tape; until ALGO reclaims $0.1049, macro appetite is pushing the narrative uphill.
I rule for the bearish side. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure: ALGO is 9.3% below SMA200 and SMA50 is 11.9% below SMA200, while greed at 68 and a 1.60 L/S ratio leave the rebound crowded. My ruling is invalidated by a decisive reclaim of the 60-day high at $0.1049 or by RSI sustaining above 70 alongside renewed positive MACD expansion.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a failed rebound structure: ALGO sits 9.3% below its SMA200, while the SMA50 trails the SMA200 by 11.9%. RSI is only 50.7 and the MACD histogram is contracting at +0.0001941, so short-term support above SMA20 and SMA50 lacks durable momentum.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I read greed into a fragile crowd: Fear&Greed is 68, long accounts hold 61.6%, and the L/S ratio is 1.60. Taker buy/sell at 0.84 says aggressive flow is leaning against those longs, while StockTwits is split 2 bullish to 2 bearish among six posts.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m not impressed by a 4.11% ALGO drop being filed under broad altcoin weakness; that’s the immediate tape. Robinhood’s relisting raises visibility, and the AI-agent protocol plus AC2 offer narrative fuel, but the pack gives no adoption, revenue, or valuation evidence to turn headlines into demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I see credible product activity in Algorand’s AI-agent protocol and AC2, especially the effort to keep agents away from users’ keys. But without usage, fee, treasury, or token-supply metrics, the fundamental case is narrative-led rather than financially demonstrated.
5da7c53413a4d49cc055efb686961e058f739a5be530d38be17cce20aa9805faadde2046047c35b2be3d774c5e58080e229d71d404353d96fdaed9f2e1bcf4e2Committed 2026-08-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 91 rulings that day · Check the chain
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