ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO sits at $0.0829 with RSI 40.3, but the chart still leans lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-19 06:31 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -7.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A daily close above $0.0833 with RSI(14) above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0805 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that $0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that $0. Key support to defend sits near $0.0805. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: ALGO is 19.4% below its SMA200 and has lost 13.3% over 30 days. But the 60-day low is only $0.0805, just 3.0% beneath spot, while MACD momentum is turning up at +0.000203 and takers are buying at 1.23—the sellers may already be running on fumes.
Leo, that $0.0805 floor is not a victory; it’s the last thin plank beneath a 13.3% monthly slide. Your +0.000203 MACD uptick cannot erase price sitting below every major average, especially with the SMA50 11.7% under the SMA200—a textbook broken trend dressed up as a bounce.
· MACD histogram expansion at +0.000203
· Taker buy/sell ratio of 1.23
· Short-term squeeze if $0.0805 holds
Invalidation: A daily close above $0.0833 with RSI(14) above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, fear at 28 and a 3.0% cushion above $0.0805 make a reflex rally plausible. If buyers can reclaim $0.0833, your breakdown story loses its teeth.
Leo, reclaiming one intraday high at $0.0833 proves nothing while ALGO remains 8.8% below SMA50. I’m watching whether $0.0805 breaks, not whether a weak tape prints a green tick.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, fear at 28 and a 3.0% cushion above $0.0805 make a reflex rally plausible. If buyers can reclaim $0.0833, your breakdown story loses its teeth.
Leo, reclaiming one intraday high at $0.0833 proves nothing while ALGO remains 8.8% below SMA50. I’m watching whether $0.0805 breaks, not whether a weak tape prints a green tick.
Mara, 56.6% longs and a 1.30 ratio are hardly capitulation, but the 1.23 taker buy/sell reading says aggressive buyers are present. That can fuel a squeeze—provided $0.0805 holds.
Theo, a squeeze is a trade, not a regime change. With ALGO down 40.6% from the 60-day high of $0.1395, liquidity has already punished the asset; absent a direct catalyst, macro gravity favors failed rallies.
I rule for Mara: the single decisive exhibit is ALGO trading 19.4% below its SMA200 while the SMA50 is 11.7% beneath it. I stay bearish for weeks; a daily close above $0.0833 paired with RSI reclaiming 50 would overturn my ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Price is 2.8% below SMA20, 8.8% below SMA50, and 19.4% below SMA200; the SMA50 sits 11.7% below the SMA200. MACD histogram is expanding at +0.000203, but that is only a countertrend spark against a damaged structure.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 28, while 56.6% of long accounts and a 1.30 long/short ratio show traders are still leaning long into weakness. Taker buy/sell at 1.23 offers buying pressure, but crowded longs make the setup vulnerable if support breaks.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Neutral. The headlines focus on privacy infrastructure, prediction-market regulation, stablecoins, and payments—not a direct Algorand catalyst. Nothing in the pack changes ALGO’s immediate technical setup.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Neutral. The data pack provides no Algorand-specific adoption, supply, revenue, or protocol metrics. Broader payment and stablecoin headlines do not establish a fundamental edge for ALGO.
4d3ae38a9f2b6871a8a846a595b2817b310e6e2fefe2f340eb33f798182fe0cbf4fc7312c5be5f7d7eea56f69a8be2b8607d9ddd9672db388d49defd4b1498d1Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25