ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO sits 18.0% below its SMA200 while RSI prints 40.7
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-15 00:55 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above 0.1038, ideally with RSI above 50 and a positive MACD histogram.. Cautious read: a break below $0.07559 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re calling a slowing engine while the car is still below every major moving average.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re calling a slowing engine while the car is still below every major moving average. Key support to defend sits near $0.07559. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: ALGO is 18.0% under SMA200 and down 9.0% over seven days. But RSI at 40.7 and a contracting -0.000599 MACD histogram say the selloff’s engine is losing fuel, while the 0.07559 low is only 5.1% beneath price; the damage may already be stale and priced in. Leo, the recent record cuts both ways: overweight calls on August 7 and August 4 lost 9.1% and 9.9% versus BTC, so bearishness now risks chasing yesterday’s wreckage.
Leo, you’re calling a slowing engine while the car is still below every major moving average. The -9.0% seven-day return, -5.6% versus SMA50, and 13.1% bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread directly attack your “priced in” claim. And August 3’s underweight call won, but August 2, August 1, and July 31 underweight calls lost as ALGO beat BTC by 7.0%, 9.4%, and 7.5%; selective memory isn’t a reversal signal.
· headline-driven squeeze
· foundation-selling reversal
· ALGO outperformance versus BTC
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above 0.1038, ideally with RSI above 50 and a positive MACD histogram.
Mara, the 0.07559 support is concrete, and RSI 40.7 is nowhere near panic capitulation. If that floor holds, your moving-average funeral is premature.
Leo, support is not proof; price is still 23.4% below the 60-day high of 0.1038. A floor only matters after the tape stops making lower-value structure.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, the 0.07559 support is concrete, and RSI 40.7 is nowhere near panic capitulation. If that floor holds, your moving-average funeral is premature.
Leo, support is not proof; price is still 23.4% below the 60-day high of 0.1038. A floor only matters after the tape stops making lower-value structure.
Leo, fear at 34 would help a contrarian only if flows agreed. Taker buy/sell at 0.91 and 56.0% long accounts show buyers are not controlling the immediate tape.
Theo’s flow read matters, and the macro backdrop adds no ALGO-specific liquidity impulse. The Trump crypto headlines may lift the sector, but this pack gives no evidence that lift is reaching ALGO.
Dmitri, Robinhood’s relisting and the quantum-warning surge show attention can return fast. A 22% headline response proves this coin can reprice before the chart politely turns.
Exactly—headline spikes are the trap, Leo. A 22% burst followed by a reported 5% drop on foundation selling and shorting pressure is volatility, not durable demand.
I rule for the bear side: underweight is the winning thesis. The decisive exhibit is the 13.1% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread, reinforced by price sitting 18.0% below SMA200 and taker buy/sell at 0.91. This ruling is different from the recent losing underweight calls because the current pack combines a 9.0% seven-day decline with broad moving-average damage and residual long exposure, not merely relative-strength assumptions; it is invalidated by a sustained break above 0.1038 or an RSI recovery above 50 accompanied by positive MACD histogram.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
ALGO’s structure is decisively bearish: price is 3.9% below SMA20, 5.6% below SMA50, and 18.0% below SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 13.1%. RSI 40.7 and a contracting MACD histogram at -0.000599 show pressure has eased, but not reversed.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 34, taker buy/sell is 0.91, and long accounts still lead at 56.0% with an L/S ratio of 1.27. That is fearful tape with residual long exposure, while StockTwits is evenly split at 4 bullish and 4 bearish tags among 9 messages.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline flow is unstable rather than supportive: Algorand has reports of a 22% quantum-warning surge, but also a 5% drop tied to foundation selling and shorting pressure. Robinhood’s relisting is a distribution-channel positive, yet the broader crypto headlines about Trump and World Liberty do not provide a direct ALGO catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack offers no fresh token-economics, adoption, revenue, or supply metrics that can offset the chart damage. The direct ALGO news is contradictory, so the fundamental case lacks a quantified base for a bullish verdict.
c72ae8f349254d0e7abb12a767977c267ccd8055bc422e1cdb56ed6bdd41e1b8b9992f9aaddcb66d097da88829da3966f8938204256939eecd449461ccbccfffCommitted 2026-08-16T00:20:00+00:00 · 96 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23