ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO’s 18.2% seven-day surge meets a 73 Greed reading and bearish long-term averages
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-24 01:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The ruling turns bullish on a sustained break above 0.1049 and bearish on a break below 0.09184 accompanied by RSI under 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.09184 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s 18.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s 18. Key support to defend sits near $0.09184. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: SMA50 sits 12.4% below SMA200, and the MACD histogram is contracting. But ALGO is above SMA20 by 9.4%, above SMA50 by 10.3%, and up 18.2% in seven days; that’s a live rebound, not a stale chart, with the 0.1049 high only 11.6% away. My side also survived the market’s recent underweight calls on August 16 (-3.4% versus BTC) and August 13 (-5.0%), while the August 8 and 7 overweight calls lost 7.9% and 9.1%; today’s evidence is stronger for a tactical rebound than those failed upside calls.
Leo’s 18.2% is precisely the bait: a fast move into a 73 Greed regime while 61.5% of long accounts lean long and the L/S ratio is 1.60. The 0.1049 ceiling is not “only” 11.6% away; it is an obvious supply test, while taker buy/sell at 0.93 says aggressive flow is already leaning the other way. The rebound sits below SMA200, so calling it a live trend reverses the chart’s clearest fact.
· Greed and long-account crowding
· Rejection at 0.1049
· Persistent SMA200 downtrend
Invalidation: The ruling turns bullish on a sustained break above 0.1049 and bearish on a break below 0.09184 accompanied by RSI under 50.
Leo, your 9.4% SMA20 gap is extension, not proof of support. What happens when Greed at 73 meets the 0.1049 ceiling?
Mara, the 0.07559 low is 22.8% below spot, and price has reclaimed both SMA20 and SMA50. A 61.5 RSI is firm, not euphoric; the chart has room before it reaches exhaustion.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, your 9.4% SMA20 gap is extension, not proof of support. What happens when Greed at 73 meets the 0.1049 ceiling?
Mara, the 0.07559 low is 22.8% below spot, and price has reclaimed both SMA20 and SMA50. A 61.5 RSI is firm, not euphoric; the chart has room before it reaches exhaustion.
I’m siding with the flow warning: long accounts are 61.5%, L/S is 1.60, and taker buy/sell is 0.93. Funding is unavailable, so nobody gets to invent a crowding confirmation, but the observable flow is not cleanly bullish.
The broad rally and regulation headlines can lift beta, but ALGO remains 3.3% under SMA200. Without a liquidity impulse beyond the headline burst, this is a fragile relief move.
Dmitri, fragility argues for neutrality, not an immediate bearish verdict. The current 0.0928 price structure is materially better than the August 7 and 8 overweight failures, which were followed by -9.1% and -7.9% versus BTC.
I rule for the mixed, neutral thesis: the decisive exhibit is the clash between price above SMA20/SMA50 and price 3.3% below SMA200, reinforced by 0.93 taker buy/sell. This call is invalidated bullishly by a decisive move above 0.1049, or bearishly by a break below 0.09184 with RSI falling under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: mixed. Evidence families: RSI 61.5; price +9.4% vs SMA20 and +10.3% vs SMA50; MACD histogram +0.001654; 60-day range; moving-average structure. Conflicts: price remains 3.3% below SMA200, SMA50 is 12.4% below SMA200, and MACD momentum is contracting. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 73; long accounts 61.5%; L/S ratio 1.60; taker buy/sell 0.93; StockTwits 7 bullish versus 1 bearish. Conflicts: strong social bullishness sits beside net taker selling. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: bullish but narrative-driven. Algorand is benefiting from a broad crypto rally, government-linked digital-asset narrative, Robinhood’s relisting, and an $841K increase in euro stablecoin market cap. The headlines support attention, but they do not yet establish durable fundamental demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: mildly bullish. The euro stablecoin market cap increase of $841K and renewed platform access are constructive, while the data pack offers no revenue, usage, or token-supply figures to prove a lasting valuation reset.
adc747719c6bbae6a8b6d4242e5ca4ecda90f9137fbc979485b5375cb9c8989300f6f5bb5b065969cc8e7a7da551e81002c3c601fccb1b62d647adc3d619d114Committed 2026-08-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 87 rulings that day · Check the chain
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