ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO trades at $0.08284, only 2.8% above its 60-day low as bearish structure dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 00:58 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -7.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.08329 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0805 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re calling a flicker a fire.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re calling a flicker a fire. Key support to defend sits near $0.0805. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede Mara’s cleanest number: ALGO is 18.6% below SMA200 and sits just 2.8% above the 60-day low. But that low is now an obvious battlefield, RSI is only 40.9 rather than deeply oversold, and the positive MACD histogram at +0.0003476 says sellers are losing some torque; a 7-day gain of 0.1% can be the first spark before the crowd notices.
Leo, you’re calling a flicker a fire. That +0.0003476 MACD histogram is contracting, price remains below every cited moving average, and the 30-day return is -7.8%; the market isn’t rewarding the alleged turn. With taker buy/sell at 0.87 and ALGO parked near $0.0805, your rebound thesis is leaning on hope at the exact level where breakdown risk is most obvious.
· Relief rally from Fear & Greed 28
· Support bounce near $0.0805
· Positive stablecoin-adoption headlines
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.08329 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, fear at 28 is fuel, not proof of continuation. If $0.0805 holds, the crowded short-side psychology can reverse quickly.
Leo, the accounts aren’t short-crowded: 59.6% are long and the L/S ratio is 1.48. That’s trapped optimism, not capitulation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, fear at 28 is fuel, not proof of continuation. If $0.0805 holds, the crowded short-side psychology can reverse quickly.
Leo, the accounts aren’t short-crowded: 59.6% are long and the L/S ratio is 1.48. That’s trapped optimism, not capitulation.
Leo, Mara’s positioning point wins the tape: taker buy/sell at 0.87 shows aggressive demand is still weaker than supply. I’d need that ratio to recover before calling the bounce sponsored.
Theo, and there’s no funding-rate data to rescue either side. Without a liquidity catalyst, ALGO’s 40.7% distance from the 60-day high keeps the macro map pointed downhill.
Dmitri, the humanitarian stablecoin headlines give ALGO a narrative others lack. A reclaim of $0.08329 would at least force this bearish script to update.
A single $0.08329 print doesn’t repair a 13.6% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. Show me sustained recovery, not a one-candle alibi.
I rule for Mara and Dmitri: the decisive exhibit is ALGO’s 13.6% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure, reinforced by price sitting 18.6% below SMA200. I would overturn this ruling only if ALGO closes above $0.08329 while RSI clears 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. ALGO sits 2.1% below SMA20, 5.8% below SMA50, and 18.6% below SMA200; SMA50 is 13.6% under SMA200. RSI 40.9 and a contracting positive MACD histogram offer only a weak countertrend pulse.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 28, taker buy/sell is 0.87, and the 59.6% long-account share looks poorly positioned against falling price. The conflict is that fear is already elevated, while the long bias leaves room for another flush.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headline support is real but commercially unproven: CGAP coverage highlights Algorand stablecoins in humanitarian-aid programs. The quantum-encryption threat and Robinhood-related headlines add attention, but neither data point establishes near-term demand for ALGO.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Algorand has a credible use-case narrative through stablecoins and humanitarian payments, according to the supplied CGAP-related headlines. The pack provides no token-economics, adoption, revenue, or valuation figures, so fundamentals cannot override the chart evidence.
fbca860923dd7ee0e48dfab2fa88ced42b99168617692465abb56af85435ae3c10578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25