ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO’s 0.08257 price sits beneath every major moving-average marker, with RSI at 45.1
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 00:55 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above the 60-day high at 0.1038 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.07559 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “floor” is nine-point-two percent below 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “floor” is nine-point-two percent below 0. Key support to defend sits near $0.07559. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the ugliest number: ALGO is 15.5% below SMA200, with a 7-day loss of 7.8%. But RSI at 45.1 isn’t capitulation, MACD histogram is still positive at +1.492e-05, and the 60-day low at 0.07559 gives the bear story a well-known floor rather than open air. Colleagues, the record also matters: my side can point to the seven straight underweight losses from July 27 through August 2, including +14.1% versus BTC on July 28 and +13.4% on July 30; that is a warning against treating stale downside structure as destiny.
I’m Mara Frost, and Leo’s “floor” is nine-point-two percent below 0.08257—not protection, just a visible target. His positive MACD reading is microscopic and contracting, while ALGO remains below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200; the 7.8% weekly slide proves the tape is still leaking. Yes, the July 27–August 2 underweight calls lost seven times, but the latest August 3 underweight call won at -7.3% versus BTC, so the record does not erase today’s structural damage—it confirms the downside thesis can reassert itself.
· Mildly buy-led taker flow at 1.12
· Positive but contracting MACD histogram of +1.492e-05
· Short-squeeze risk with 55.5% long accounts
Invalidation: A sustained move above the 60-day high at 0.1038 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re leaning on the 60-day low as if 0.07559 is carved in granite. A positive MACD histogram and only 1.2% down over 30 days say the collapse has already cooled.
Leo, cooling is not recovery when price is still 15.5% under SMA200. The 0.1038 high is 20.5% away, and the market has not reclaimed even SMA20.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re leaning on the 60-day low as if 0.07559 is carved in granite. A positive MACD histogram and only 1.2% down over 30 days say the collapse has already cooled.
Leo, cooling is not recovery when price is still 15.5% under SMA200. The 0.1038 high is 20.5% away, and the market has not reclaimed even SMA20.
I’m Theo Okafor: fear at 29 is real, but 55.5% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.24 show the crowd hasn’t fully surrendered. Taker buy/sell at 1.12 helps the bull case, though it is not enough to overpower the chart.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: the macro tape offers no rescue signal. With crypto losses at $361 million in the headlines and ALGO down 7.8% in seven days, a modestly buy-led taker ratio is a candle in a storm.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bear side wins, driven by ALGO sitting 15.5% below SMA200 while the 60-day low remains 9.2% lower at 0.07559. The recent record is mostly a rebuke to reflexive bearishness—seven losses from July 27 through August 2—but the August 3 underweight win at -7.3% versus BTC and today’s aligned moving-average structure make this call different. I overturn it if ALGO closes back above SMA50, which the pack does not provide as a numeric price, or if RSI rises decisively above 50; the concrete price invalidation is a break above the 60-day high at 0.1038.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: bearish. Price is 1.6% below SMA20, 2.8% below SMA50, and 15.5% below SMA200; SMA50 trails SMA200 by 13.1%. RSI(14) at 45.1 and a contracting positive MACD histogram are the only counterweights. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving-average structure, momentum, support/resistance; conflicts: MACD remains positive; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: bearish, but the crowd isn’t fully washed out. Fear&Greed is 29, yet long accounts still lead at 55.5% with an L/S ratio of 1.24, while taker buy/sell is 1.12. Direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, account skew, taker flow, social split; conflicts: taker flow is mildly buy-led and StockTwits is 4 bullish versus 3 bearish; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: the headline tape is a drag. Algorand has been reported down 5% amid Foundation selling and shorting pressure, while the Flow Traders partnership and validator-growth story produced a reported 3.06% surge. The broader tape is hardly friendly, with crypto losses hitting $361 million at Trump Media; the positive partnership story has not repaired ALGO’s chart.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: the data pack offers one constructive fundamental thread—Flow Traders partnership and validator growth—but no token-supply, revenue, adoption, or valuation figures. That leaves the fundamental case too thin to offset ALGO’s 15.5% discount to SMA200 and 20.5% gap below the 60-day high.
0a39964896aeb99edb8ff4320e7d5b4a50b32f3370721965cbb2c0f2511005272c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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