ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO’s 5.484% daily rebound meets a bearish 200-day gap
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-20 00:54 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish call is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of 0.0966, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $0.07559 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s 5.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s 5. Key support to defend sits near $0.07559. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: ALGO sits 14.5% below SMA200 and the recent overweight calls on August 6, 7, and 8 lost 9.9%, 9.1%, and 7.9% versus BTC. But today’s 5.484% jump, 7-day gain of 4.3%, and contracting MACD histogram say the sellers’ fuel is stale; a move from 0.0822 toward 0.0966 has room before the tape proves me wrong.
Leo’s 5.484% pop is a one-day candle trapped beneath every major moving-average signal, with price still 1.8% below SMA50 and 14.5% below SMA200. The same record Leo cites is a warning, not a reset: overweight failed on August 6, 7, and 8, while ALGO’s 60-day high remains 15.0% away.
I think the ruling leaves upside underpriced: ALGO is only 8.7% above 0.07559 while its 24-hour move is already 5.484%, and a recovery toward 0.0966 would be a 15.0% advance. The v5.0.0 quantum-resilient account upgrade could give the rebound a narrative second leg.
The fastest failure is a break of 0.07559, because the 60-day low is the cleanest nearby floor beneath a price still 14.5% below SMA200. The fragile exhibit is the bullish reversal story: RSI is only 49.8 and taker buy/sell is 0.94.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating one 5.484% day as a trend change; the conservative desk overreaches if it ignores the 4.3% seven-day recovery. The deciding condition is whether ALGO holds 0.07559 or instead reclaims 0.0966.
· headline-driven rebound from v5.0.0
· Bitcoin-led crypto risk rally
· support failure near 0.07559
Invalidation: The bearish call is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of 0.0966, the 60-day high.
Leo, your contracting MACD histogram is not a reversal; it’s merely less negative. Can you name the upside confirmation while ALGO remains under SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200?
Mara, confirmation is exactly what the 0.0822 price action is beginning to build: the 60-day low is 0.07559, 8.7% below, and the 7-day tape is already up 4.3%. Your August 8 overweight loss of 7.9% versus BTC proves bad timing can be punished, not that this bounce is dead.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, your contracting MACD histogram is not a reversal; it’s merely less negative. Can you name the upside confirmation while ALGO remains under SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200?
Mara, confirmation is exactly what the 0.0822 price action is beginning to build: the 60-day low is 0.07559, 8.7% below, and the 7-day tape is already up 4.3%. Your August 8 overweight loss of 7.9% versus BTC proves bad timing can be punished, not that this bounce is dead.
I’m siding with the skeptic on crowd quality: 57.0% of long accounts and Fear & Greed at 62 coexist with a 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio. That’s optimism without aggressive demand, and funding is absent rather than supportive.
Bitcoin briefly reaching $70,000 can lift ALGO, but macro beta cuts both ways. ALGO’s 30-day return is still -2.9%, so the broader risk bid has not repaired its relative weakness.
I rule for the bear case: the decisive exhibit is ALGO’s 14.5% discount to SMA200, reinforced by the 13.0% bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread. My ruling flips only if price reclaims 0.0966, the 60-day high, with the current bearish moving-average structure visibly repaired.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a bearish structure: ALGO trades 14.5% below SMA200, with SMA50 sitting 13.0% below SMA200. RSI at 49.8 and a contracting MACD histogram show stabilization, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
The crowd is leaning too comfortably bullish: Fear & Greed is 62, long accounts are 57.0%, and StockTwits is 7 bullish versus 2 bearish. Taker buy/sell at 0.94 undercuts that optimism; funding is unavailable, so I can’t confirm derivatives crowding.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The v5.0.0 quantum-resilient account upgrade is a credible protocol headline, while Robinhood’s relisting adds visibility. But the pack offers no adoption, revenue, or valuation evidence to turn those headlines into a price catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Native quantum-resilient accounts improve Algorand’s technical narrative, and Robinhood’s relisting may broaden access. Still, the data pack provides no token-supply, usage, fee, or valuation metrics, so the fundamental case remains incomplete.
81a28f613af3a00389c571b05823798dce94fa9d6c684fca098c42e5e39a628a3c48fe76cfdb380303016b74f46003f8e487fa46e3f85434b095720b4f300a33Committed 2026-08-21T00:20:00+00:00 · 88 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23