ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO’s 9.91% daily surge is pressing 0.09771 resistance with RSI at 71.8
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-22 00:57 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.09000 or RSI(14) below 50 overturns the neutral ruling toward bearish.. Cautious read: a break below $0.09 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s +22.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s +22. Key support to defend sits near $0.09. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the bear’s cleanest number: RSI is 71.8 and ALGO is just 0.2% below the 60-day high at 0.09771. But the tape is running with a +22.7% seven-day move, an expanding +0.001884 MACD histogram, and a 9.91% daily burst; that’s not stale strength, it’s a live breakout attempt. I also own the record: my side’s 2026-08-08 overweight call lost 7.9% versus BTC, but today’s price is above SMA20 and SMA50 while fresh narrative catalysts are active.
Leo’s +22.7% seven-day number is exactly why I reject the breakout fantasy: ALGO is stretched 15.1% above SMA20 and RSI is already 71.8 before it has cleared 0.09771. His 2026-08-08 overweight call lost 7.9% versus BTC, and the chart still carries the same structural warning—SMA50 is 12.4% below SMA200. A near-resistance sprint with 61.5% of accounts long is crowded optimism, not confirmation.
I think the ruling understates the upside: a clean break above 0.09771 could extend a move already up 22.7% in seven days, especially with MACD at +0.001884 and the 60-day low still 28.9% below. The 2026-08-09 neutral call was flat-out wrong at -5.8% versus BTC, so recent caution has already missed powerful relative movement.
The fastest failure is a rejection at 0.09771: RSI 71.8, Fear&Greed 71, and 61.5% long accounts make the momentum exhibit fragile. The 2026-08-08 and 2026-08-07 overweight calls lost 7.9% and 9.1% versus BTC, proving that bullish price structure can unwind sharply before the crowd admits it.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating +22.7% as continuation, while the conservative desk overreaches by treating the bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread as immediate reversal. The deciding condition is whether price breaks and holds above 0.09771; failure with RSI below 50 favors the bears.
· rejection at 0.09771
· crowded 1.60 L/S ratio
· SMA50 12.4% below SMA200
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.09000 or RSI(14) below 50 overturns the neutral ruling toward bearish.
Leo, your +0.001884 MACD expansion is a momentum snapshot, not proof that 0.09771 will break. What happens when the 1.60 L/S ratio meets an RSI of 71.8?
Mara, price is still 1.5% above SMA200 and has gained 17.1% in 30 days; the market is repairing the damage your bearish moving-average cross records. Your crowding argument matters only if 0.09771 rejects decisively.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, your +0.001884 MACD expansion is a momentum snapshot, not proof that 0.09771 will break. What happens when the 1.60 L/S ratio meets an RSI of 71.8?
Mara, price is still 1.5% above SMA200 and has gained 17.1% in 30 days; the market is repairing the damage your bearish moving-average cross records. Your crowding argument matters only if 0.09771 rejects decisively.
I’m with Mara on the tape quality: taker buy/sell is 0.97 despite 61.5% long accounts. That mismatch says the crowd is leaning bullish while aggressive execution is not confirming it; funding is unavailable, so I won’t invent a squeeze story.
And the broad crypto rally is doing much of the lifting. Government-linked blockchain headlines and a Robinhood relisting can amplify liquidity, but they can evaporate faster than a 9.91% candle if the macro bid fades.
Fair, Dmitri—but ALGO is not merely flat with the market: +22.7% in seven days and +17.1% in 30 days show relative participation. I’m not calling a clean breakout; I’m saying the bears need a rejection, not just an overbought reading.
I rule for a neutral call. The decisive exhibit is the collision between strong momentum—+22.7% over seven days and an expanding +0.001884 MACD histogram—and fragile structure, with price 0.2% below 0.09771 resistance, RSI 71.8, and SMA50 12.4% under SMA200. This differs from the recent losing calls because current data show renewed upside momentum and price above SMA20/SMA50, but the call is overturned by a daily close below 0.09000 or RSI falling under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI is 71.8 and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.001884; price sits 15.1% above SMA20 and 15.8% above SMA50. But 0.09771 is the 60-day high, while SMA50 remains 12.4% below SMA200, so momentum is bullish inside a structurally fragile chart.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd appetite is hot: Fear&Greed is 71, long accounts are 61.5% with a 1.60 L/S ratio, and StockTwits shows 8 bullish versus 0 bearish posts. The taker buy/sell ratio is only 0.97, which undercuts the cheerleading and points to overhead distribution risk.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines connect Algorand to a broad crypto rally, government-linked digital-asset projects, and Robinhood’s relisting. The catalyst set is narrative-heavy and supportive, but none of the supplied headlines establishes a durable change in Algorand’s cash flows or adoption.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no revenue, usage, supply, or protocol-growth figures, so fundamental conviction is limited. Government-project and relisting narratives may improve attention, but they do not yet quantify token demand.
bcfdc26ca64794974ee3522210b8422bc987d43769ecd017280de75c588a37ea4dce84591bab17edc3dcb06a2ee866c2e70ff75132d5ba0582c8c8ce8beda186Committed 2026-08-23T00:20:00+00:00 · 94 rulings that day · Check the chain
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