ALGO / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
ALGO sits at $0.0778 with RSI 37.5 and only 2.9% above its 60-day low
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-19 01:15 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -8.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -8.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — -9.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -8.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +7.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +7.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +13.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if ALGO reclaims SMA20 and RSI rises above 50, with 0.0966 as the key resistance confirmation level.. Cautious read: a break below $0.07559 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your springboard is resting on a floor that is nearly under the market.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your springboard is resting on a floor that is nearly under the market. Key support to defend sits near $0.07559. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly exhibit: ALGO is 19.2% below its SMA200, with RSI at 37.5 and the price just 2.9% above 0.07559. But that pressure is already painted into the chart, while the contracting MACD histogram and quantum-resilient-account upgrade offer a springboard. I also acknowledge my side’s recent record: overweight on August 8 at -7.9% versus BTC and August 7 at -9.1%, plus August 4 at -9.9%; those losses make the rebound case cheaper, not stronger by default.
Leo, your springboard is resting on a floor that is nearly under the market. The price is below every major average, down 6.7% over 30 days, and taker buy/sell is only 0.79; a contracting negative MACD histogram is not a reversal. The recent overweight losses on August 8 (-7.9%), August 7 (-9.1%), and August 4 (-9.9%) show how badly optimistic calls have fared against relative weakness.
I see more downside than the ruling admits: ALGO is still 19.5% below 0.0966, while 54.8% of accounts are long and takers buy only 0.79 units per seller unit. A break of 0.07559 could expose a fresh leg lower because the nearest established floor is already under pressure.
The fastest failure is a technical rebound from 0.07559: RSI 37.5 is weak but not deeply washed out, and the MACD histogram is contracting. The most fragile exhibit is the bearish continuation thesis if price reclaims SMA20 after the 6.7% 30-day decline.
Leo overreaches by treating a contracting MACD histogram as a reversal, while Mara overreaches if she assumes modest 1.21 long/short crowding guarantees liquidation. The deciding condition is whether ALGO holds 0.07559 or breaks it; the recent record—1 WIN versus 4 LOSS—supports demanding that price confirmation.
· Oversold rebound from 0.07559
· Quantum-resilience upgrade drives renewed demand
· Funding data unavailable
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if ALGO reclaims SMA20 and RSI rises above 50, with 0.0966 as the key resistance confirmation level.
Mara, 54.8% long accounts is hardly a crowded mania, and RSI 37.5 leaves room for a snapback before exhaustion becomes the story.
Leo, modest crowding does not erase the tape: ALGO is 5.8% below SMA20 and 7.0% below SMA50, with sellers still leading at 0.79.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, 54.8% long accounts is hardly a crowded mania, and RSI 37.5 leaves room for a snapback before exhaustion becomes the story.
Leo, modest crowding does not erase the tape: ALGO is 5.8% below SMA20 and 7.0% below SMA50, with sellers still leading at 0.79.
Mara, I’ll grant the taker imbalance, but the long-account ratio of 1.21 is not an extreme imbalance; forced optimism is a weak claim here because funding is unavailable.
Theo, exactly—and without funding data there is no liquidity catalyst to rescue a coin sitting 19.5% below its 60-day high. The upgrade headline needs actual demand, not just a better narrative.
I rule for the bear case: underweight. The decisive exhibit is ALGO’s price structure—0.0778 below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, with the SMA50 13.1% below the SMA200—backed by a 0.79 taker buy/sell ratio. This differs from the recent losing overweight calls because today’s ruling explicitly follows persistent multi-horizon weakness and seller-led flow; it is invalidated by a decisive recovery above 0.0966 or an RSI move back above 50 with price reclaiming SMA20.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI 37.5; price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 5.8%, 7.0%, and 19.2%; bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure; MACD histogram -0.0005243. Conflicts: MACD histogram is contracting and RSI is approaching oversold territory. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 46; taker buy/sell 0.79; long accounts 54.8% with L/S ratio 1.21; StockTwits shows 3 bullish versus 4 bearish messages. Conflicts: crowding is modest rather than extreme. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Algorand v5.0.0 adds native quantum-resilient accounts, while Robinhood’s relisting raises visibility. The headlines are constructive, but they have not displaced ALGO’s 30-day decline of 6.7% or its broader weak structure.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The protocol upgrade is a credible product milestone, and regulatory-clarity commentary could improve the narrative. Yet the data pack provides no revenue, adoption, token-supply, or valuation figures to establish a fundamental rerating.
2769da457275a499337882886449b01dcc9a5605dc563903cf0a84ced4b148e50f1b74c5d5aa8bd9fe0e079b811d2482b9bd27566afea1ff19e554ca5230c439Committed 2026-08-20T00:20:00+00:00 · 73 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
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