SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI’s 0.04094 rebound faces a 60-day low at 0.03937 and a 30.9% gap below SMA200
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 01:01 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.046 would overturn the bearish ruling by reclaiming the nearby resistance structure.. Cautious read: a break below $0.03937 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 2.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 2. Key support to defend sits near $0.03937. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: SEI is 30.9% beneath SMA200 and 31.5% below the 60-day high. But RSI at 37.9, an expanding MACD histogram of +0.0002229, and a 2.45% daily bounce say the sellers’ engine is sputtering; with the 0.03937 low only 3.9% below, washed-out fear at 29 can fuel a sharp relief move.
Leo, that 2.45% bounce is a candle, not a trend reversal. The key number is the 23.1% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread: a tiny positive MACD histogram cannot erase a market still 10.1% below SMA50 and 15.5% lower over 30 days.
I see more downside room than the ruling admits: SEI is only 3.9% above 0.03937, while the 60-day high at 0.05971 is 31.5% away. With 63.5% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.74, a break of support could unwind crowded optimism quickly; the shown record’s two WIN and zero LOSS underweight calls reinforce that asymmetry.
The fastest failure is a support-driven squeeze: RSI is 37.9, MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0002229, and price gained 2.45% in 24 hours. The fragile exhibit is the moving-average extrapolation if SEI reclaims 0.046 while fear at 29 reverses.
Leo overreached by treating one 2.45% session as demand, while Mara overreached if she treats 0.03937 as destined to fail. The deciding condition is whether price holds 0.03937 or breaks below it; the settled record favors the bearish call, with 2 WIN and 0 LOSS shown.
· Support-driven relief rally
· MACD improvement despite weak trend
· Crowded longs unwinding abruptly
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.046 would overturn the bearish ruling by reclaiming the nearby resistance structure.
Mara, the 0.03937 low is close enough to act as a defined pressure point, and RSI 37.9 is already far from euphoric. A fear reading of 29 leaves plenty of sidelined demand if support holds.
Leo, support is not proof of support. Long accounts are already 63.5% of the crowd with an L/S ratio of 1.74, so your supposed sidelined demand is competing with trapped optimism.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.03937 low is close enough to act as a defined pressure point, and RSI 37.9 is already far from euphoric. A fear reading of 29 leaves plenty of sidelined demand if support holds.
Leo, support is not proof of support. Long accounts are already 63.5% of the crowd with an L/S ratio of 1.74, so your supposed sidelined demand is competing with trapped optimism.
I’m with Mara on the crowd math: taker buy/sell at 1.01 is barely constructive, not a forceful demand surge. Without funding data, nobody gets to claim the crowd is being flushed or that the bounce is under-owned.
And the macro tape offers no rescue: the SEC again delayed an innovation exemption and postponed Reg Crypto without a new date. That leaves a 30.9% SMA200 deficit exposed to liquidity disappointment.
I rule for the bearish side: SEI is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average stack, especially SMA50 sitting 23.1% below SMA200, which overwhelms the modest MACD improvement and 2.45% daily rebound. My ruling is overturned by a sustained move above 0.046, signaling recovery through the near-term structure rather than another support test.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Price sits 1.5% below SMA20, 10.1% below SMA50, and 30.9% below SMA200; SMA50 is 23.1% below SMA200. RSI(14) at 37.9 and expanding MACD histogram of +0.0002229 show a bounce attempt, not a repaired trend.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 29, while 63.5% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.74 show bullish crowding against weak structure. Taker buy/sell at 1.01 is balanced, and StockTwits had 0 messages, so social confirmation is absent.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Mixed but not a sufficient catalyst. Headlines mention support near $0.04, network activity, Korean payments integration, and speculative breakout targets, while SEC delays on tokenization and Reg Crypto postpone a potentially supportive regulatory backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The TMO Labs integration could broaden Sei’s payments use case in Korea, and the Giga upgrade narrative may support longer-term interest. The data pack provides no token-supply, revenue, valuation, or adoption figures, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the established bearish price structure.
17fbea115502ade696827ef4b0007a511c30b90541055414dacb3e3f542d3a8a53f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22 · 2026-08-21