SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI Trades at $0.04098 Near Its 60-Day Low as the Bear Trend Still Dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 01:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive break above the supplied $0.05971 resistance would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04037 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the MACD flicker is the smallest candle in the room, while the price remains 11.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the MACD flicker is the smallest candle in the room, while the price remains 11. Key support to defend sits near $0.04037. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the bear's cleanest number: SEI sits 31.9% below its SMA200 and only 1.4% above the 60-day low at $0.04037. But RSI at 33.9 and an expanding MACD histogram of +0.0001933 say the selling engine is sputtering; this is a compressed spring, not fresh air beneath a cliff.
Leo, the MACD flicker is the smallest candle in the room, while the price remains 11.7% below SMA50 and 31.9% below SMA200. Your “compressed spring” is still pinned near $0.04037, with 30-day momentum at -15.3% and takers buying only 0.91 times what they sell.
· oversold RSI reversal
· expanding positive MACD histogram
· payments and network-upgrade catalyst
Invalidation: A decisive break above the supplied $0.05971 resistance would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, RSI at 33.9 is already pricing substantial damage, and the distance to the $0.05971 high is irrelevant if mean reversion starts from $0.04037.
Leo, price is $0.04098, just 1.4% above that low; a near-low print is evidence of weakness until it proves otherwise, not a reversion signal.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, RSI at 33.9 is already pricing substantial damage, and the distance to the $0.05971 high is irrelevant if mean reversion starts from $0.04037.
Leo, price is $0.04098, just 1.4% above that low; a near-low print is evidence of weakness until it proves otherwise, not a reversion signal.
Leo, the crowd is not cleanly washed out: 61.6% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.60 leave optimism leaning the wrong way, while taker flow sits at 0.91.
Mara has the regime point. SEI is down 15.3% over 30 days, and nothing in the supplied macro headlines provides a liquidity impulse capable of lifting it back toward $0.05971.
I rule for the bears: SEI's bearish moving-average structure is the decisive exhibit, with price 31.9% below SMA200 and SMA50 trailing SMA200 by 22.9%. The ruling is overturned by a sustained move above SMA50, whose exact price is unavailable, or—using the supplied levels—by a decisive break back above $0.05971.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) at 33.9, price below SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 by 2.9%/11.7%/31.9%, and a bearish SMA50-vs-SMA200 spread of -22.9%. Conflict: MACD histogram is positive and expanding at +0.0001933, while 7-day momentum is only -1.4% against a 30-day decline of -15.3%. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 29, taker buy/sell at 0.91, and bearish self-tagged StockTwits messages at 2 versus 1 bullish. Conflict: long accounts still lead at 61.6%, with an L/S ratio of 1.60, creating downside crowding despite broad fear. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The news flow offers upgrade and payments narratives, but the headlines do not show a delivered catalyst strong enough to reverse SEI's price structure. Network-upgrade deposit and withdrawal suspension on Aug. 4 is a concrete operational headline, while the broader market news is not SEI-specific.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no token-supply, valuation, revenue, or network-usage figures sufficient for a fundamental bullish verdict. The Korea payments integration is constructive, but it remains a headline-level catalyst against a 30-day price decline of 15.3%.
d924419780ffafecbd56f12f807dedbc55b54ac0b7c783279902178431b8aca12c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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