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SEI / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-20 07:27 UTC
$0.05
-2.14% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-20 07:27 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-20 — latest verdict → SEI
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

SEI sits at $0.04566, just 2.8% above its 60-day low as bearish momentum deepens

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:27 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
18W–0L–13P · 2 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 82.4–100.0% · n=18 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · SEI price $0.04596 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · SEI price $0.04704 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+0.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Neutral — -2.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · SEI price $0.04832 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · SEI price $0.04704 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · SEI price $0.04746 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · SEI price $0.04476 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-5.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · SEI price $0.04783 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · SEI price $0.04546 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · SEI price $0.04341 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · SEI price $0.04832 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · SEI price $0.04127 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-28 · SEI price $0.04832 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · SEI price $0.03977 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · SEI price $0.04783 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · SEI price $0.04094 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · SEI price $0.04341 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-8.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · SEI price $0.03997 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · SEI price $0.04127 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · SEI price $0.04176 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · SEI price $0.03977 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · SEI price $0.04075 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · SEI price $0.04039 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · SEI price $0.0416 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · SEI price $0.03997 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · SEI price $0.04136 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-13 · SEI price $0.03997 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · SEI price $0.04157 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · SEI price $0.04098 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · SEI price $0.04127 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · SEI price $0.04149 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · SEI price $0.04111 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · SEI price $0.04176 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · SEI price $0.04169 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · SEI price $0.04075 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-5.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · SEI price $0.04239 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-08 · SEI price $0.04075 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · SEI price $0.04168 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · SEI price $0.0416 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · SEI price $0.04337 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · SEI price $0.04136 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · SEI price $0.04202 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · SEI price $0.04157 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · SEI price $0.04496 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · SEI price $0.04127 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · SEI price $0.04466 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · SEI price $0.04111 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · SEI price $0.04382 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · SEI price $0.04169 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · SEI price $0.0455 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · SEI price $0.04239 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-6.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · SEI price $0.04664 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · SEI price $0.04168 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-7.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · SEI price $0.04605 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · SEI price $0.04337 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · SEI price $0.04671 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · SEI price $0.04202 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-7.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · SEI price $0.04566 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · SEI price $0.04496 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · SEI price $0.04662 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · SEI price $0.04466 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · SEI price $0.04737 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · SEI price $0.0455 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · SEI price $0.04817 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · SEI price $0.04664 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-5.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · SEI price $0.04809 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · SEI price $0.04693 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.04566 -2.1% 24h
60d high0.07318 -37.6%
60d low0.04441 +2.8%
RSI(14)36.3
vs 200d SMA -33.4%
30d change -16.3%
Funding (net) +0.06 bp/8h
Fear & Greed29 · Fear
Long accounts51.0% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.05000 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.04441
Key resistance$0.05
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.05000 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.
Main riskssharp relief rally from $0.04441unreported positive funding or positioning shiftSei Giga Upgrade execution
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

The chart is structurally bearish: price is 5.4% below SMA20, 10.9% below SMA50, and 33.4% below SMA200. RSI(14) at 36.3 is weak but not deeply oversold, while the expanding negative MACD histogram keeps pressure aimed at the $0.04441 low.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Fear&Greed at 29 confirms a fearful crowd, but positioning is not capitulation: long accounts still hold 51.0% and the L/S ratio is 1.04. Taker buy/sell at 0.98 shows sellers have the slight edge; sentiment is bearish with crowded-long risk.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines offer a speculative Giga Upgrade reversal story alongside repeated downtrend warnings. The Korea payments integration is constructive, but the pack provides no measurable adoption or revenue impact, so the news case cannot offset the price damage.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The payments integration with TMO Labs is a potentially useful ecosystem signal, but the data pack supplies no token-supply, valuation, revenue, or usage figures. The fundamental case is therefore supportive in narrative only, not strong enough to underwrite a months-long bullish verdict.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
b2d520493e2dc418066ba0d58ddeb0412d4aae83dad1e167391a07959e6c4aae
UTC date
2026-07-20
Chain head
bb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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