SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI’s 30.8 RSI has not stopped a 35.5% discount to its SMA200
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-30 01:00 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -2.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a reclaim of 0.04204 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04105 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that is exactly the hopium trap: oversold is not a reversal, and your 30.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that is exactly the hopium trap: oversold is not a reversal, and your 30. Key support to defend sits near $0.04105. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SEI is 35.5% below its SMA200 and the MACD histogram is expanding negative. But RSI at 30.8 and Fear&Greed at 28 tell me the wreckage is crowded into the price; a catalyst like SIP-5 or the Korea payments integration can spark a sharp mean-reversion before the chart repairs.
Leo, that is exactly the hopium trap: oversold is not a reversal, and your 30.8 RSI has arrived alongside a 9.1% SMA20 gap and a 15.7% SMA50 gap. The 60-day low is 0.04105, only 1.5% below spot, so the market is testing support—not demonstrating that selling is exhausted.
· Oversold RSI bounce
· SIP-5 or payments-adoption catalyst
· Support near 0.04105 holds
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a reclaim of 0.04204 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.
Mara, the 0.04105 low is nearby because fear is already visible at 28; if that floor holds, the asymmetry favors a violent bounce.
Leo, holding a floor by 1.5% is not confirmation. Taker buy/sell at 0.90 and long accounts at 54.9% show buyers are not pressing hard enough to reverse control.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.04105 low is nearby because fear is already visible at 28; if that floor holds, the asymmetry favors a violent bounce.
Leo, holding a floor by 1.5% is not confirmation. Taker buy/sell at 0.90 and long accounts at 54.9% show buyers are not pressing hard enough to reverse control.
I’m with Mara on positioning: a 1.22 L/S ratio leaves longs leaning into a falling market, while the 0.90 taker ratio says aggressive demand is absent. There is no funding-rate data here to rescue the bullish case.
And the macro tape is hardly a liquidity gift: Robinhood’s crypto revenue cooling and political friction around crypto limits are poor backdrop signals. A speculative bounce can occur, but the regime still pays bears.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is SEI trading 35.5% below its SMA200 with an expanding negative MACD histogram. I would overturn this ruling only if price reclaims 0.04204 and RSI(14) rises above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Evidence families: trend structure, moving-average alignment, momentum. SEI sits 9.1% below SMA20, 15.7% below SMA50, and 35.5% below SMA200; MACD histogram is -0.0002841 and expanding. Conflicts: RSI(14) at 30.8 is oversold. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow. Fear&Greed is 28, long accounts still lead at 54.9% with a 1.22 L/S ratio, while taker buy/sell is only 0.90. Conflicts: fear is already elevated. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines offer a plausible catalyst in SIP-5 post-quantum work and a Korea payments integration, but the pack provides no adoption, revenue, or execution figures. Price-prediction headlines are promotional framing, not evidence that the downtrend has broken.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The post-quantum upgrade and payments integration improve the long-term story, yet no token-economics, usage, or valuation data is supplied. I cannot underwrite a reversal from narrative alone while SEI remains 42.1% below its 60-day high.
a686c0e0e6f0e57667d1d7c1a1ba817acf38c77ceb164ff1201bb9905a7d1688aa060d7030c0f8a7ef90b4eff282d9df7889a97182b9445afd6aba086b7e303cCommitted 2026-07-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23