SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI sits at $0.04239, just 3.2% above its 60-day low as bearish structure dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-31 00:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -2.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.07196, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04105 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re calling exhaustion while the chart is still bleeding.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re calling exhaustion while the chart is still bleeding. Key support to defend sits near $0.04105. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SEI is 34.0% below its SMA200 and down 10.4% over 30 days. But RSI at 34.0, a contracting MACD histogram of -0.0001875, and a price only 3.2% above $0.04105 say the washout is getting tired; that’s where a reversal can ignite before the crowd notices.
Leo, you’re calling exhaustion while the chart is still bleeding. Price remains below every major average—6.9% under SMA20, 14.0% under SMA50, and 34.0% under SMA200—and the SMA50 sits 23.2% below SMA200. RSI at 34.0 is weak, not a buy signal, and $0.04105 is close enough to be tested rather than worshipped.
· Oversold RSI-driven rebound
· Elliptic or Korean payments adoption accelerates
· Broad crypto liquidity recovers
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.07196, the 60-day high.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.04105 is the obvious line in the sand, and SEI is holding $0.04239 above it. A contracting MACD histogram tells me downside momentum is losing fuel.
Leo, losing fuel isn’t reversing direction. The 7-day loss is still 3.9%, takers are net sell-biased at 0.95, and your supposed support is just 3.2% away.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.04105 is the obvious line in the sand, and SEI is holding $0.04239 above it. A contracting MACD histogram tells me downside momentum is losing fuel.
Leo, losing fuel isn’t reversing direction. The 7-day loss is still 3.9%, takers are net sell-biased at 0.95, and your supposed support is just 3.2% away.
Leo, I’d like the rebound case more if positioning weren’t lopsided: 56.9% of long accounts and a 1.32 L/S ratio leave plenty of trapped optimism. Fear & Greed at 25 is capitulation-flavored, but it hasn’t produced buying pressure.
Mara’s right about the regime. Strategy’s $8.2 billion Q2 loss and Coinbase’s 5% drop show risk liquidity is punishing crypto beta; SEI needs a market-wide thaw, not just a low RSI.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure: price is 34.0% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 23.2% below it. I would overturn this ruling only if SEI reclaims the 60-day high at $0.07196; a decisive break below $0.04105 would reinforce the bearish case.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. Price is 6.9% below SMA20, 14.0% below SMA50, and 34.0% below SMA200; SMA50 trails SMA200 by 23.2%. RSI is 34.0 and MACD histogram is still negative at -0.0001875, though contracting. Conflicts: contracting MACD and near-low positioning could support a bounce. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 25, taker buy/sell is 0.95, and SEI is only 3.2% above its 60-day low of $0.04105. The 56.9% long-account share and 1.32 L/S ratio show that traders are still leaning long into weakness. Conflicts: extreme fear can fuel a contrarian rebound. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines offer incremental infrastructure and payments integrations through Elliptic and TMO Labs, but the pack contains no confirmed catalyst with measurable earnings or adoption impact. The broader tape is hostile: Strategy reported an $8.2 billion Q2 loss and Coinbase fell 5% after missing revenue estimates. Prediction articles are narratives, not evidence of a breakout.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no token-supply, valuation, revenue, or network-usage metrics sufficient to establish fundamental upside. Elliptic risk intelligence and Korean payments integration are constructive developments, but their financial impact is unquantified. I therefore give fundamentals a neutral-to-unproven read.
6d5165eff5f6f59999752fccc15ee0de985699c66d25af825be48bca9dcb3abeaaad93392449382ba620b10dc23d021a0aee68e412ac495be7026415dc708c27Committed 2026-08-01T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23