SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI sits at $0.0455 with RSI 35.8, but the downtrend still owns the chart
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 01:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -2.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.04556 accompanied by RSI(14) rising above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04441 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that launchpad is a trap door.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that launchpad is a trap door. Key support to defend sits near $0.04441. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SEI is down 17.7% over 30 days and trades 37.8% below the 60-day high. But RSI at 35.8 and a price only 2.4% above the 60-day low say the washout is already deep; if that $0.04441 floor holds, the reversal trade has a clean launchpad.
Leo, that launchpad is a trap door. SEI is not merely oversold—it is 32.1% below SMA200, 9.0% below SMA50, and the bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread is -25.3%; RSI 35.8 measures weakness, not a bottom. Your $0.04441 defense is the only thing keeping the chart from confirming another leg lower.
· relief rally from RSI 35.8
· long-account liquidation accelerating downside
· unverified upgrade or payments catalyst
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.04556 accompanied by RSI(14) rising above 50.
Mara, you’re treating every trend measure as a verdict after the move has happened. A 60-day low at $0.04441 with RSI 35.8 gives buyers a defined asymmetric line; reclaim $0.04556 and the squeeze can start.
Leo, the tape can bounce and still remain broken. Taker buy/sell at 0.92 and expanding negative MACD say buyers aren’t even winning the first skirmish.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating every trend measure as a verdict after the move has happened. A 60-day low at $0.04441 with RSI 35.8 gives buyers a defined asymmetric line; reclaim $0.04556 and the squeeze can start.
Leo, the tape can bounce and still remain broken. Taker buy/sell at 0.92 and expanding negative MACD say buyers aren’t even winning the first skirmish.
Leo, I checked the positioning exhibit: 53.2% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.14. That’s not capitulation; it’s a modest long bias sitting above a weak $0.0455 market, and funding is unavailable, so nobody gets to invent a squeeze premium.
Mara’s case fits the regime, colleagues. With SEI down 3.0% in seven days and 17.7% in thirty, the market is paying for liquidity stress now, not future upgrade stories. Until price retakes the short averages, hope is the most expensive macro strategy.
I pick the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is SEI trading 32.1% below SMA200 while the MACD histogram expands negatively at -1.158e-05. The nearest support is $0.04441; a reclaim above $0.04556 with RSI recovering above 50 would overturn my ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
SEI is bearish: price sits 4.7% below SMA20, 9.0% below SMA50, and 32.1% below SMA200, while the MACD histogram is expanding at -1.158e-05. The $0.04441 60-day low is the immediate level to defend; the moving-average structure offers no bullish reversal yet.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
SEI sentiment is bearish: Fear&Greed is 28, taker buy/sell is 0.92, and 53.2% of accounts are long with an L/S ratio of 1.14. That long bias is a conflict for bears because a crowded long unwind could accelerate downside, but current buying pressure is weak.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
SEI headlines lean promotional rather than catalytic, centering on price predictions, a possible Giga Upgrade, and a Korea payments integration from TMO Labs. The broader tape adds no clear SEI-specific catalyst: the Clarity Act is reportedly missing its window, while the Robinhood CEO account hack underscores crypto headline risk.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides only one concrete adoption item: TMO Labs integrated with Sei Network for everyday payments in Korea. There is no token-supply, revenue, valuation, upgrade-delivery, or network-usage data here to justify a fundamental re-rating.
228551cced131b00155f52a4197b74e11771619a215d29ce6595c02bd921bfa910578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23