SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI trades at $0.04671, with RSI 39.6 and a bearish moving-average structure still pressing the tape
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-21 00:30 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -2.0% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained close above approximately $0.0489 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04441 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re treating a tiny MACD uptick like a rescue helicopter.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re treating a tiny MACD uptick like a rescue helicopter. Key support to defend sits near $0.04441. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SEI is 31.5% under its SMA200 and down 14.3% over 30 days. But that damage is already splashed across the windshield; Extreme Fear at 25 and RSI 39.6 leave room for a reflex rally, while the expanding MACD histogram at +3.941e-05 says downside momentum is losing its grip.
Leo, you’re treating a tiny MACD uptick like a rescue helicopter. Price remains below every major average, with SMA50 already 25.6% beneath SMA200, and the nearest 60-day low is only 5.2% below at $0.04441. A positive histogram has not reclaimed even the SMA20, let alone repaired the trend.
· MACD histogram continues expanding
· Extreme Fear fuels a relief rally
· Korea payments integration gains traction
Invalidation: A sustained close above approximately $0.0489 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.
Mara, the market doesn’t need a repaired trend to bounce; it needs sellers to run out. At $0.04671, SEI is much closer to the $0.04441 floor than the $0.07318 high, so the payoff is asymmetric if that floor holds.
Leo, proximity to support isn’t support. Taker buy/sell is 0.97, and 50.4% of accounts are already long—buyers have not exactly vanished. Break $0.04441 and your ‘asymmetry’ becomes a trapdoor.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the market doesn’t need a repaired trend to bounce; it needs sellers to run out. At $0.04671, SEI is much closer to the $0.04441 floor than the $0.07318 high, so the payoff is asymmetric if that floor holds.
Leo, proximity to support isn’t support. Taker buy/sell is 0.97, and 50.4% of accounts are already long—buyers have not exactly vanished. Break $0.04441 and your ‘asymmetry’ becomes a trapdoor.
I’m with Mara on the positioning detail: L/S at 1.02 is balanced, not a bearish squeeze fuel source. With funding unavailable, I can’t manufacture a contrarian funding argument for the bull case.
And I won’t call Fear & Greed 25 a macro bottom. Fear can persist while liquidity keeps draining; the 30-day loss of 14.3% is the market’s invoice, not a prophecy of reversal.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure: price is 31.5% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 25.6% below it. I would overturn this ruling only if SEI closes above $0.0489, the approximate SMA20 level implied by the stated -3.3% discount, with RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price below SMA20 (-3.3%), SMA50 (-8.0%), and SMA200 (-31.5%); SMA50 sits 25.6% below SMA200; 7d and 30d returns are -3.7% and -14.3%. Conflict: MACD histogram is positive and expanding at +3.941e-05. Sufficiency: adequate. Kai Nakamura: I see a damaged trend, not a finished reversal. The $0.04441 60-day low is the obvious line in the sand; until SEI reclaims $0.0489, the chart remains structurally heavy.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 25 (Extreme Fear); taker buy/sell at 0.97; long accounts at 50.4% with an L/S ratio of 1.02. Conflict: positioning is nearly balanced, so there is no crowded-long liquidation setup. Sufficiency: adequate. Sofia Reyes: The crowd is frightened, but not capitulating—50.4% long is hardly a dramatic washout. A 0.97 taker ratio confirms sellers still have the slight psychological edge.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headline flow is mostly prediction-driven—Giga Upgrade speculation, reversal narratives, and a Korea payments integration—without a concrete catalyst quantified in the data pack. The broader market headlines about Cardano and Exodus do not directly establish a SEI-specific advantage.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The pack supplies no token-supply, valuation, revenue, or adoption metrics, so fundamental conviction is limited. TMO Labs integrating with Sei for payments in Korea is constructive, but the evidence provided cannot outweigh a price 31.5% below its SMA200.
49d47c0c5d6735eadfcd1440bf1f610e4057215e55ff4eac2ff1e271a4462d8a8493ea2a32b8f699d8d9f64cbb801351e81386c424ce90ba6ee879a91604b285Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23