SEI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SEI’s 23.1% seven-day surge runs into a bearish moving-average structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-25 01:07 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.0533 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04673 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the 23.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the 23. Key support to defend sits near $0.04673. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: SEI is 16.2% below SMA200, with SMA50 lagging SMA200 by 22.0%. But that’s stale long-term baggage, while price has ripped 23.1% in seven days, trades 12.0% above SMA20, and sits only 11.0% beneath the 60-day high at 0.0533—the tape is rebuilding before the averages catch up.
Leo, the 23.1% sprint is exactly the exhibit I’d attack, not celebrate. RSI at 63.9, a contracting MACD histogram of +0.001075, and taker buy/sell at 0.87 say the move is losing thrust while price remains structurally below SMA200; a rally that cannot reclaim 0.0533 is still a failed recovery.
· seven-day momentum persists
· Eidos upgrade triggers a breakout
· Bitcoin strength lifts the market
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.0533 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating 0.0533 like a verdict when it’s only 11.0% away. A 7-day gain of 23.1% with RSI still below 70 is momentum with room, not exhaustion.
Leo, RSI 63.9 is not a blank cheque, and the MACD histogram is contracting. Your room disappears if 0.04745 fails, because the rally is then trapped above SMA20 rather than breaking the 0.0533 ceiling.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating 0.0533 like a verdict when it’s only 11.0% away. A 7-day gain of 23.1% with RSI still below 70 is momentum with room, not exhaustion.
Leo, RSI 63.9 is not a blank cheque, and the MACD histogram is contracting. Your room disappears if 0.04745 fails, because the rally is then trapped above SMA20 rather than breaking the 0.0533 ceiling.
I’m with Mara on flow: 63.2% long accounts and a 1.71 ratio show crowded optimism, while taker buy/sell at 0.87 supplies no confirmation. The crowd is leaning bullish without bullish aggression.
And Bitcoin merely nearing $80,000 is not liquidity rescue; the headline itself says the next pullback matters. SEI’s 30-day gain is only 5.3%, so this looks more like a sharp repricing inside a damaged regime than a durable macro turn.
I rule for the bears: SEI is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the 22.0% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread, reinforced by price sitting 16.2% below SMA200 despite the 23.1% seven-day burst. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above the 60-day high at 0.0533; a drop below 0.04673 would instead confirm the downside structure.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m bearish: RSI is 63.9 and price sits 12.0% above SMA20, but the larger structure is hostile—price remains 16.2% below SMA200 and SMA50 trails SMA200 by 22.0%. The contracting MACD histogram at +0.001075 makes the rally look increasingly breathless. Direction: bearish; evidence families: RSI, moving averages, MACD, multi-period returns; conflicts: short-term momentum versus long-term trend; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m bearish: Fear&Greed is 74, 63.2% of accounts are long, and the 1.71 long/short ratio shows optimism has crowded the room. Taker buy/sell at 0.87 means aggressive flow is not confirming that enthusiasm. Direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account ratio, taker flow; conflicts: elevated greed versus net taker selling; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m not giving the upgrade headlines a free pass. Sei’s phased Eidos upgrade and the 200,000 TPS narrative may improve the network story, but the data pack supplies no adoption, revenue, or realized-usage figure to justify a near-term repricing.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I see a promising infrastructure narrative, including TMO Labs’ Korea payments integration and the Eidos upgrade toward 200,000 TPS. Still, without token-economics, usage, or cash-flow metrics, the fundamental case cannot outweigh a price that is 16.2% below SMA200.
db4825398d4e8604cff9b0659cb50ffb77d4d4be88809ffc86ae3564903b247f14faabecdb7719003b4bda7de235e76e71170edaad505076d223f4a3b6d33cbeCommitted 2026-08-26T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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