DYDX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
DYDX trades at $0.1149 after a 9.117% daily plunge, with the 60-day floor only 4.2% below
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-28 01:20 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -10.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -11.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +3.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close above $0.1166 with RSI(14) above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1103 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that RSI is not a reversal signal; it is merely less oversold than the hopium crowd wants.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that RSI is not a reversal signal; it is merely less oversold than the hopium crowd wants. Key support to defend sits near $0.1103. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, colleagues: DYDX is down 9.117% in 24 hours and 25.1% over 30 days. But RSI at 39.9 is bruised rather than broken, and the MACD histogram is contracting; after a fall from the 60-day high of $0.245, some of this wreckage is already priced in. Arcus gives the project a live distribution hook, not a dead-end narrative.
Leo, that RSI is not a reversal signal; it is merely less oversold than the hopium crowd wants. Your contracting MACD histogram is being asked to rescue a coin still 11.4% below SMA200, with taker buy/sell at 0.79 and a 60-day low of $0.1103 just 4.2% away. The chart is not pricing in recovery—it is leaning toward another support test.
· Arcus adoption and Robinhood distribution
· Oversold rebound from $0.1103
· Regulatory catalyst reversal
Invalidation: A close above $0.1166 with RSI(14) above 50 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, the $0.1103 low is close enough to become a springboard, and Fear&Greed at 29 means the crowd is already hiding under the desk.
Leo, the crowd is hiding while 57.0% of long accounts remain exposed. That 1.32 long/short ratio is trapped optimism, not capitulation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, the $0.1103 low is close enough to become a springboard, and Fear&Greed at 29 means the crowd is already hiding under the desk.
Leo, the crowd is hiding while 57.0% of long accounts remain exposed. That 1.32 long/short ratio is trapped optimism, not capitulation.
I’m with Mara on the positioning tape: a 0.79 taker buy/sell ratio says buyers aren’t lifting offers. Fear is present, but the flow still pays the bears.
And the macro tape offers no rescue. The Senate’s Clarity Act delay removes a near-term policy catalyst, while liquidity has not shown up to absorb a 25.1% monthly drawdown.
Fine, but Arcus is tangible distribution and the MACD contraction says downside momentum is losing fuel.
Losing fuel is not gaining altitude. Until DYDX reclaims $0.1166 and then the moving averages, that is just a falling knife slowing before the next bounce.
I rule for the bears, and my decisive exhibit is the 0.79 taker buy/sell ratio alongside price 11.4% below SMA200. The 57.0% long-account share leaves crowded downside fuel near the $0.1103 60-day low. My ruling is overturned only if DYDX closes above $0.1166 while RSI(14) reclaims 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 39.9, while price sits 7.2% below SMA20, 11.3% below SMA50, and 11.4% below SMA200. The bearish moving-average structure and 30-day loss of 25.1% outweigh the contracting MACD histogram.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 29, but long accounts still hold 57.0% exposure with a 1.32 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 0.79 shows sellers still control aggressive flow; fear has not produced clean capitulation.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
dYdX Labs' Arcus partnership with Robinhood Chain is strategically notable, but the token dropped 23% around the launch headlines. The delayed U.S. Clarity Act adds no immediate regulatory catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Arcus expands dYdX's potential distribution into stock-token and perpetual markets through Robinhood Chain. The data pack provides no token-supply, revenue, valuation, or unlock figures, so fundamental support cannot override the price evidence.
be3cf0252b36a82ef862d4965e45b566f8feeb46955bea0d8a1e5692af3a63e01b179784d8d4e946c4157221c78e88b8ad0a662850703693246f2e057ba3ed4fCommitted 2026-07-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25