DYDX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
DYDX sits 9.0% below its SMA50 while RSI prints 43.8
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-21 00:38 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -10.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -11.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +3.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -11.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.128, with RSI above 50, would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1103 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “spring” is still trading below every major moving average that matters: SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 4.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “spring” is still trading below every major moving average that matters: SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 4. Key support to defend sits near $0.1103. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: DYDX is 9.0% below SMA50 and 50.3% beneath the 60-day high. But the tape is trying to stop bleeding—MACD histogram is contracting, RSI is 43.8 rather than oversold, and the token has eked out 1.6% over seven days; that’s a battered spring, not a fresh collapse.
Leo, your “spring” is still trading below every major moving average that matters: SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 4.1%, 9.0%, and 8.0%. The 1.6% seven-day bounce is microscopic beside the reported 23% news-driven drop, while 0.1103 is only 10.4% below price—hardly a heroic distance to the floor.
· Arcus adoption exceeds expectations
· Defence of the 0.1103 low
· Broad crypto liquidity rebound
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.128, with RSI above 50, would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.
Mara, the SMA50 is still 1.1% above SMA200, so the longer structure hasn’t fully rolled over. If buyers defend 0.1103, this can squeeze back toward the 0.1219 pivot.
That 1.1% spread is a museum piece, Leo; price is beneath both averages and the 60-day high at 0.245 is 50.3% away. Call it structure when DYDX reclaims 0.128 or better—not before.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the SMA50 is still 1.1% above SMA200, so the longer structure hasn’t fully rolled over. If buyers defend 0.1103, this can squeeze back toward the 0.1219 pivot.
That 1.1% spread is a museum piece, Leo; price is beneath both averages and the 60-day high at 0.245 is 50.3% away. Call it structure when DYDX reclaims 0.128 or better—not before.
Leo, the positioning data gives you no fuel: taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00, and long accounts at 52.3% with an L/S ratio of 1.09 are only mildly tilted long. Funding isn’t provided, so nobody gets to invent a squeeze thesis.
Mara has the cleaner macro read. A 25 Fear & Greed print means liquidity appetite is poor; without a broad risk-on impulse, a 1.5% 30-day gain is decorative, not regime change.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is price sitting 9.0% below SMA50 while taker flow is neutral at 1.00. My ruling is overturned by a sustained reclaim above 0.128, or by RSI recovering above 50 while price holds above SMA50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. Price is below SMA20 by 4.1%, SMA50 by 9.0%, and SMA200 by 8.0%; the 0.1103 60-day low is the obvious downside magnet. The only structural counterpoint is SMA50 above SMA200 by 1.1%, while contracting MACD damage and RSI 43.8 show pressure easing, not reversal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 25, and long accounts still hold 52.3% with an L/S ratio of 1.09; that is fearful positioning with enough bullish exposure to feed another flush. Taker buy/sell at 1.00 offers no demand edge, and funding is unavailable.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. The Arcus DEX launch on Robinhood Chain is the headline catalyst, but the token reportedly dropped 23% and community concerns followed. Broader headlines on Cardano and Exodus do not provide a DYDX-specific support impulse.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Neutral-to-bearish. The data pack confirms Arcus launched on Robinhood Chain and received Robinhood Crypto investment, but it supplies no token-economics, valuation, revenue, or unlock data. The immediate market response—a reported 23% token drop—shows the announcement has not translated into token demand.
bf93f9c5ec98ac055e67bad344c467a9cc62f80aa310701cf161c59fba82775c8493ea2a32b8f699d8d9f64cbb801351e81386c424ce90ba6ee879a91604b285Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25