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SNX / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-28 01:18 UTC
$0.23
+1.19% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-28 01:18 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-28 — latest verdict → SNX
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

SNX at $0.2289 is bouncing, but the 16.3% discount to its SMA200 keeps the verdict bearish

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:18 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
14W–0L–16P · 1 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 78.5–100.0% · n=14 · early sample
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
2026-08-27 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
2026-08-25 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-01
2026-08-24 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-31
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · SNX price $0.2252 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · SNX price $0.208 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-8.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-29
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · SNX price $0.2133 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · SNX price $0.2289 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · SNX price $0.2041 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · SNX price $0.2264 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · SNX price $0.1983 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · SNX price $0.2252 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-7.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · SNX price $0.1972 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · SNX price $0.2133 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · SNX price $0.198 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · SNX price $0.2041 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-5.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · SNX price $0.1983 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · SNX price $0.1995 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · SNX price $0.214 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · SNX price $0.1972 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-6.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · SNX price $0.216 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · SNX price $0.198 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · SNX price $0.2109 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · SNX price $0.204 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · SNX price $0.2139 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · SNX price $0.2112 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · SNX price $0.21 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · SNX price $0.211 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · SNX price $0.2113 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · SNX price $0.2131 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · SNX price $0.2106 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · SNX price $0.214 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · SNX price $0.216 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · SNX price $0.215 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · SNX price $0.2109 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · SNX price $0.2093 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · SNX price $0.2139 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · SNX price $0.2221 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · SNX price $0.21 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · SNX price $0.2143 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · SNX price $0.2113 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · SNX price $0.2181 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · SNX price $0.2131 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · SNX price $0.2189 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · SNX price $0.2106 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · SNX price $0.2245 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · SNX price $0.2103 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-3.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · SNX price $0.2252 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · SNX price $0.215 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · SNX price $0.2381 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · SNX price $0.2093 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-10.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · SNX price $0.2278 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · SNX price $0.2221 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · SNX price $0.2209 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · SNX price $0.2143 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · SNX price $0.2248 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · SNX price $0.2189 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · SNX price $0.2289 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · SNX price $0.2245 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · SNX price $0.2357 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · SNX price $0.2311 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.2289 +1.2% 24h
60d high0.2541 -9.9%
60d low0.1884 +21.5%
RSI(14)59.4
vs 200d SMA -16.3%
30d change +8.3%
Funding (net) +1.00 bp/8h
Fear & Greed73 · Greed
Long accounts62.1% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained break above the 60-day high at $0.2541 overturns the bearish ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.1884
Key resistance$0.2541
InvalidationA sustained break above the 60-day high at $0.2541 overturns the bearish ruling.
Main risksshort-term momentum continuationmacro crypto reboundoversold long-term trend reversal
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Kai Nakamura: RSI is constructive at 59.4, with price 7.8% above SMA20 and 5.4% above SMA50. But price remains 16.3% below SMA200, while SMA50 sits 20.6% below SMA200; MACD histogram is positive at 0.002879 yet contracting.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed at 73 and 62.1% long accounts show greed leaning into the rebound. The 0.89 taker buy/sell ratio is the tell: enthusiasm is not translating into aggressive demand; StockTwits provides no usable sample.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Ed Walsh: The relevant macro headline is blunt—Bitcoin fell amid Middle East conflict, undercutting crypto’s safe-haven pitch. IBM’s digital-asset platform story is structural, not a direct SNX catalyst, while the Ethena buyback headline belongs elsewhere.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

Priya Anand: The data pack provides no SNX-specific supply, revenue, staking, or protocol-usage metrics. Without token-economic evidence, the verdict must defer to the damaged long-term chart and crowded sentiment.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
ec5d90d155d59281c6840caa0b8dbffbb865b7ccd7f5eceaec2c6073549906cf
UTC date
2026-08-28
Chain head
b460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419

Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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