SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX sits at $0.1972 with RSI 35.1, but its bearish structure still points toward the $0.191 floor
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 01:15 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above $0.1986 with RSI rising through 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.191 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.191. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. I concede the ugly number: SNX is 30.3% beneath its SMA200 and only 3.1% above the $0.191 60-day low. But RSI at 35.1 says the engine is already running hot on the downside, and fear at 29 can make a thin floor spring violently rather than crack on schedule.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s “spring” is a story, not evidence: the price is down 14.2% over 30 days, the MACD histogram is expanding at -0.0009838, and every major moving-average relationship is bearish. RSI 35.1 is nowhere near proof of reversal; it merely shows sellers have more room before exhaustion.
I see more downside than the ruling admits: SNX is down 14.2% over 30 days, still 25.5% below the $0.2644 60-day high, and the expanding MACD deficit can accelerate toward a fresh breakdown. The market has not shown a true washout because taker buy/sell remains 0.86 rather than capitulation.
The fastest failure is a support bounce: spot at $0.1972 is just 3.1% above $0.191, while RSI 35.1 is compressed enough for a reflex rally. That $0.191 exhibit is fragile because it is nearby and widely visible, not because the trend has healed.
I think Leo overreached by treating RSI 35.1 as a reversal signal; Mara overreaches only if she assumes support must break immediately. The deciding condition is whether SNX holds $0.191 or loses it while MACD remains expanding negatively; the latter settles the bearish call.
· reflex bounce from $0.191
· RSI-driven short-term reversal
· broader crypto risk-on catalyst
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above $0.1986 with RSI rising through 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the $0.191 low is visible to everyone, and spot at $0.1972 is already pressing it. A crowded fear tape can produce a sharp reclaim before your moving averages even turn.
Leo, the latest candle closed at $0.1969 after trading only to $0.1986, hardly a reclaim. The 7-day loss is still 6.2%, and the 60-day high at $0.2644 is 25.5% away—this is damaged structure, not a coiled breakout.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the $0.191 low is visible to everyone, and spot at $0.1972 is already pressing it. A crowded fear tape can produce a sharp reclaim before your moving averages even turn.
Leo, the latest candle closed at $0.1969 after trading only to $0.1986, hardly a reclaim. The 7-day loss is still 6.2%, and the 60-day high at $0.2644 is 25.5% away—this is damaged structure, not a coiled breakout.
I’m Theo Okafor. The flow read favors Mara: taker buy/sell is 0.86, while only 48.3% of accounts are long. That is not a capitulation extreme, and funding is unavailable, so no funding-based squeeze claim survives the data.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. Bitcoin falling amid Middle East conflict while crypto fails as a haven is the macro exhibit. Against that liquidity backdrop, SNX needs a catalyst the pack does not show.
I’m Judge Aldrich. The bearish side wins, and the decisive exhibit is the expanding negative MACD histogram alongside price 30.3% below SMA200. The ruling is overturned by a sustained move below $0.191 followed by a momentum reversal, specifically RSI reclaiming 50; absent that, the damaged trend remains the cleaner verdict.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price below SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 by 5.9%/10.0%/30.3%; bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread of -22.5%; expanding negative MACD histogram at -0.0009838; RSI 35.1; 60d low at $0.191. Conflicts: RSI is near oversold territory, and support is only 3.1% below spot. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 29; taker buy/sell at 0.86; long accounts at 48.3% with an L/S ratio of 0.93. Conflicts: fear is already elevated, while the balanced account split leaves no extreme long crowd to unwind. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. Bitcoin’s conflict-driven decline and the message that crypto is not a haven reinforce a hostile macro tape. SEC delays around tokenization and regulated crypto remove near-term regulatory catalysts, while IBM’s digital-asset platform headline is constructive but not an SNX-specific trigger.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The data pack provides no SNX-specific supply, revenue, staking, or protocol-usage figures, so fundamentals cannot rescue the chart thesis. IBM’s institutional platform news may help the broader digital-asset narrative, but it does not establish value capture for SNX.
f223d9bc3fcb2d23e7fbd612469e42ff0bafdccd24db7cb3edfc91eebbebd76853f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
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