SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX’s 15.4% seven-day surge runs into a bearish long-term structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-24 01:35 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of 0.2541, the 60-day high, overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1884 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that repair argument leans on the freshest candle while ignoring the map.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that repair argument leans on the freshest candle while ignoring the map. Key support to defend sits near $0.1884. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: SNX sits 17.7% below its SMA200, with the SMA50 trailing that average by 21.3%. But the market has already dragged that bearish structure into the price; a 15.4% seven-day climb, RSI at 58.2, and price 8.3% over SMA20 show the tape is repairing, not collapsing.
Leo, that repair argument leans on the freshest candle while ignoring the map. SNX is still 11.0% beneath the 60-day high of 0.2541, and the contracting MACD histogram says the burst is losing thrust before it has even reclaimed the major trend.
I think the bearish call leaves upside underpriced: SNX is already 8.3% above SMA20, RSI is only 58.2, and the 0.1884 low sits 20.1% below spot. A move through 0.2541 would expose how quickly this short-term repair can outrun the old averages.
The fastest failure is a reversal from the crowded optimism: Fear&Greed is 73, 62.8% of accounts are long, and taker buy/sell is only 0.95. The fragile exhibit is the 15.4% seven-day gain because MACD histogram momentum is contracting.
The aggressive desk overreaches on upside room; it discounts the 21.3% bearish moving-average spread. The deciding condition is whether price reclaims 0.2541 before RSI rises into exhaustion; the shown record also favors restraint, with 3 WIN and 0 LOSS among settled directional calls.
· short-term momentum continuation
· crowded long accounts unwinding
· broader crypto weakness
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of 0.2541, the 60-day high, overturns the bearish ruling.
Leo, your 15.4% rally has not erased the 21.3% SMA50/SMA200 deficit; it has merely bounced inside a damaged structure.
Mara, the 0.1884 low is still 20.1% below spot at 0.2262, so the market has meaningful room before revisiting the breakdown zone. RSI 58.2 is momentum, not exhaustion.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, your 15.4% rally has not erased the 21.3% SMA50/SMA200 deficit; it has merely bounced inside a damaged structure.
Mara, the 0.1884 low is still 20.1% below spot at 0.2262, so the market has meaningful room before revisiting the breakdown zone. RSI 58.2 is momentum, not exhaustion.
I’m siding with Mara on crowding: Fear&Greed is 73 and 62.8% of long accounts are already leaning the same way. The 0.95 taker buy/sell ratio adds no confirmation of fresh demand.
And the macro backdrop is no rescue boat: Bitcoin is falling amid conflict, while the pack offers no SNX-specific catalyst. A fragile altcoin bounce can evaporate when liquidity turns defensive.
I rule for the bear thesis: underweight is the winning side, decided by the 21.3% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread, reinforced by 73 Fear&Greed and 62.8% long accounts. The ruling is overturned by a decisive reclaim of 0.2541, the 60-day high, or by the SMA50/SMA200 structure turning positive.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 58.2, price above SMA20 by 8.3% and SMA50 by 4.6%, price below SMA200 by 17.7%, SMA50 below SMA200 by 21.3%, contracting MACD histogram. Conflicts: seven-day gain of 15.4% and positive short-term moving-average spreads versus the bearish long-term structure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 73, 62.8% long accounts, L/S ratio 1.69, taker buy/sell 0.95. Conflicts: taker flow is not aggressively one-sided, and StockTwits has 0 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
SNX-specific news is absent from the pack. The broader tape is conflicted: Bitcoin is falling amid Middle East conflict while digital-asset regulation and institutional infrastructure headlines provide no clear SNX catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack provides no SNX-specific revenue, supply, staking, governance, or valuation figures. Broader institutional and regulatory headlines do not establish a fundamental rerating case for SNX.
08bc8d7fe9b303972ac18daf440706019a2205229cd0fb5f327e446e9667d5a800f6f5bb5b065969cc8e7a7da551e81002c3c601fccb1b62d647adc3d619d114Committed 2026-08-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 87 rulings that day · Check the chain
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