SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX at $0.2112 stays beneath its long-term trend, with RSI 44.7 and 30-day performance at -13.9%
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 01:18 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.2651 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.191 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD flicker is a match in a flooded basement.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD flicker is a match in a flooded basement. Key support to defend sits near $0.191. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: SNX sits 26.0% below SMA200 and has lost 13.9% in 30 days. But RSI is only 44.7, not capitulation territory, and the expanding +0.000499 MACD histogram says the spring is beginning to uncoil; with price just 0.7% under SMA20, the heavy trend may be stale and already priced in.
Leo, that MACD flicker is a match in a flooded basement. The key number is the 22.9% SMA50-versus-SMA200 gap: SNX is not merely below trend, its intermediate trend is decisively beneath the long trend, while the 60-day high at $0.2651 remains 20.3% away.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: a 30-day loss of 13.9% and price 26.0% below SMA200 leave substantial downside if $0.191 fails. The slight long majority at 53.8% could become fuel for a sharper unwind.
The fragile exhibit is the bearish trend, because MACD is expanding at +0.000499 and RSI is only 44.7. A recovery through $0.2125 would show that the breakdown pressure is losing grip before the $0.191 floor is tested.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating the $0.191 floor as already broken; the conservative desk overreaches by elevating one MACD reading over the trend. The deciding condition is whether SNX holds above $0.191 or breaks it while remaining below SMA50.
· Expanding MACD histogram at +0.000499
· Support at $0.191 holding
· Fear-driven rebound from RSI 44.7
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.2651 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating a wide moving-average gap as destiny. Price is only 10.6% above the $0.191 low, so the asymmetry can improve quickly if the expanding MACD persists.
Leo, “quickly” is doing all the work. A 10.6% cushion above support is not strength when the 30-day return is -13.9% and the latest close is just $0.2112.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a wide moving-average gap as destiny. Price is only 10.6% above the $0.191 low, so the asymmetry can improve quickly if the expanding MACD persists.
Leo, “quickly” is doing all the work. A 10.6% cushion above support is not strength when the 30-day return is -13.9% and the latest close is just $0.2112.
I’ll puncture both narratives: long accounts are 53.8%, the L/S ratio is 1.16, and taker buy/sell is 0.99. That is mild long crowding without aggressive demand, hardly the flow signature of a clean reversal.
And the macro tape is hostile: Bitcoin is falling amid conflict, while crypto is failing as a haven. SNX’s fragile trend has no liquidity tailwind in this pack.
I rule for the bears: SNX is underweight because the decisive exhibit is the 26.0% gap below SMA200 reinforced by the 22.9% bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure. The ruling is overturned by a sustained break above $0.2651, or by RSI reclaiming 50 while that breakout holds.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
SNX is bearish: price sits 4.1% below SMA50 and 26.0% below SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 22.9%. MACD histogram is expanding at +0.000499, but that is only a countertrend spark; support is $0.191 and resistance is $0.2651.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sentiment is bearish: Fear & Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.99, and only 53.8% of long accounts are leaning long. The crowd is fearful rather than euphoric, but the slight long-account majority leaves room for disappointment if price fails near $0.2125.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The news backdrop is risk-off, with Bitcoin falling amid Middle East conflict and crypto failing to act as a haven. Institutional digital-asset infrastructure headlines from IBM and stablecoin optimism from Bitwise do not directly repair SNX's weak market structure.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no SNX-specific earnings, protocol-growth, token-supply, or valuation figures. Broader digital-asset infrastructure headlines are supportive for the sector, but they are too indirect to overturn SNX's 26.0% discount to SMA200.
4c6ddeadbf2ede47a8f3c0e62c5353f72c249cbaad04825c276969dfa84ffde02c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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