SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX at $0.2381 gets a short-term bounce, but its 23.7% discount to the SMA200 keeps the verdict bearish
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-21 00:35 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.3264, the 60-day high, would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.191 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that is a bounce dressed up as a turnaround.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that is a bounce dressed up as a turnaround. Key support to defend sits near $0.191. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SNX sits 23.7% below its SMA200 and the SMA50 trails it by 24.9%. But colleagues, the tape is already bruised; price is 3.9% above SMA20, 1.5% above SMA50, and the MACD histogram is expanding at +0.002003—enough fuel for a squeeze from $0.2381.
Leo, that is a bounce dressed up as a turnaround. Your strongest exhibit is the expanding MACD, yet RSI is only 53.3 and SNX is still trapped beneath the SMA200 while its SMA50 remains 24.9% lower than that long-term average. A move above short averages does not erase a 23.7% structural deficit.
· short squeeze from Extreme Fear at 25
· expanding MACD histogram
· rebound above SMA20 and SMA50
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.3264, the 60-day high, would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the market has already priced the graveyard narrative: 30-day performance is only +1.2% after the damage. At $0.2381, the risk-reward improves if MACD keeps expanding.
Leo, “priced in” is hopium with a tie on. The 60-day high is $0.3264—27.1% away—and taker buy/sell is 0.95, so the crowd isn't chasing your squeeze.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the market has already priced the graveyard narrative: 30-day performance is only +1.2% after the damage. At $0.2381, the risk-reward improves if MACD keeps expanding.
Leo, “priced in” is hopium with a tie on. The 60-day high is $0.3264—27.1% away—and taker buy/sell is 0.95, so the crowd isn't chasing your squeeze.
Leo, I’m with Mara on the positioning. Long accounts are 60.6%, with a 1.54 long/short ratio; that is crowded enough to make any failed bounce mechanically painful. Funding is not provided, so I won’t invent a funding tailwind.
Colleagues, the macro tape is worse than the chart’s small green candles. The headlines say Bitcoin is falling amid Middle East conflict and crypto is not a haven; liquidity cynicism beats a +0.3% seven-day print.
I pick the bears, and the decisive exhibit is SNX’s 23.7% gap below the SMA200 alongside a 24.9% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. I’m not impressed by a $0.2381 bounce while long accounts sit at 60.6%. My ruling is overturned by a sustained break above the 60-day high at $0.3264, or by a decisive RSI(14) move above 70 paired with that breakout.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 53.3; price above SMA20 by 3.9% and SMA50 by 1.5%; price below SMA200 by 23.7%; SMA50 below SMA200 by 24.9%; expanding MACD histogram at +0.002003. Conflicts: short-term momentum is positive while the long-term moving-average structure remains bearish. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 25 (Extreme Fear); long accounts 60.6%; long/short ratio 1.54; taker buy/sell 0.95. Conflicts: extreme fear can support a rebound, but account positioning is still long-heavy and takers are not buying aggressively. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: bearish. Barron's frames Bitcoin's decline amid Middle East conflict and argues crypto is not functioning as a haven, a hostile backdrop for SNX beta. The IBM digital-asset platform headline is industry-positive, but it offers no SNX-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: neutral. The pack provides no SNX-specific supply, revenue, staking, protocol-use, or valuation metrics. IBM's regulated digital-asset platform headline is relevant sector context, not evidence of SNX token-economics improvement.
fb227947cd227d62ee2c399ad24091dde4d5645bd49c3195aa2c93d3649d0a468493ea2a32b8f699d8d9f64cbb801351e81386c424ce90ba6ee879a91604b285Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24