SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
A 6.36% rebound at $0.2041 still sits beneath a bearish long-term map
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-20 01:16 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.2546, the 60d high, with RSI recovering above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1884 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD pulse has not repaired the structure you just conceded.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD pulse has not repaired the structure you just conceded. Key support to defend sits near $0.1884. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: SNX sits 26.3% below its SMA200, with the SMA50 trailing that long average by 21.7%. But the market has already dragged the coin to $0.1884 before this 6.36% snapback, and an expanding MACD histogram of +0.0004571 says the rebound has a pulse rather than stale hope.
Leo, that MACD pulse has not repaired the structure you just conceded. Price remains 5.9% below SMA50, 0.5% below SMA20, and 20.0% under the 60d high at $0.2546; a green day is not a trend reversal, it’s the market briefly changing gloves.
I think the bearish call leaves too much rebound room on the table: spot is only $0.2041, while the 60d high is $0.2546, a 20.0% gap, and MACD is expanding at +0.0004571. The 60d low at $0.1884 also shows the market has already absorbed a deep washout.
The fastest failure is a break through $0.1884, only 8.2% below spot, because RSI is 46.6 and price remains 26.3% under SMA200. The fragile exhibit is the expanding MACD: it can reverse while the -11.7% 30d trend stays intact.
Leo overreaches by treating one expanding MACD reading as repaired structure; Mara overreaches if she treats the rebound as irrelevant. The deciding condition is whether SNX reclaims SMA50 after holding $0.1884.
· MACD rebound may accelerate
· Crypto-wide Bitcoin strength
· Support failure at $0.1884
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.2546, the 60d high, with RSI recovering above 50.
Mara, the 7d move is already +3.0%, and the 60d low at $0.1884 is only 8.2% below spot. That’s a defined floor with momentum beginning to turn.
Leo, a floor that is 8.2% away is not support until price proves it. RSI at 46.6 is below bullish momentum territory, while the 30d return is still -11.7%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 7d move is already +3.0%, and the 60d low at $0.1884 is only 8.2% below spot. That’s a defined floor with momentum beginning to turn.
Leo, a floor that is 8.2% away is not support until price proves it. RSI at 46.6 is below bullish momentum territory, while the 30d return is still -11.7%.
Mara, the crowd isn’t wildly trapped: longs are 52.7%, the L/S ratio is 1.11, and taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00. That leaves no dramatic funding excess to unwind—though funding itself is unavailable, so I won’t invent one.
Theo, that same 62 Fear & Greed reading is greed leaning into a fragile macro tape. Bitcoin’s $70,000 headline and conflict-driven safe-haven debate can lift beta briefly, but they do not give SNX independent liquidity.
I rule for the bear side: SNX’s -26.3% distance below SMA200 is the decisive exhibit, and the bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread confirms the damage is structural. The recent record supports that call—three wins and zero losses across the shown underweight resolutions, though five entries were pushes. My ruling is overturned by a sustained break above the 60d high of $0.2546 or a clear RSI recovery above 50 accompanied by price reclaiming SMA50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200; bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure at -21.7%; RSI 46.6; MACD histogram +0.0004571 and expanding. Conflicts: short-term MACD improvement and 7d gain of 3.0% oppose the broader trend. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: mildly bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 62 (Greed); long accounts 52.7%; long/short ratio 1.11; taker buy/sell at 1.00. Conflicts: crowding is modest, not extreme; StockTwits supplied 0 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The tape is borrowing a crypto-wide bounce while headlines focus on Bitcoin near $70,000 and Hyperliquid’s 11% jump. Middle East conflict and safe-haven coverage add a macro risk shadow, while IBM’s regulated digital-asset platform news offers no direct SNX catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
SNX-specific fundamental evidence is thin in this data pack. The available evidence is dominated by price structure and market-wide narratives, so there is no fundamental basis for overriding the bearish chart.
44db9223b57edc6c486e7262b5455a03766c8c672bd4576db7babd0522f10a693c48fe76cfdb380303016b74f46003f8e487fa46e3f85434b095720b4f300a33Committed 2026-08-21T00:20:00+00:00 · 88 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22