SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX at $0.198 sits 30.2% below its 200-day average as downside pressure persists
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-13 01:20 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $0.2651 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.191 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.191. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. The bear’s strongest number is the 30.2% discount to SMA200, but that is old wreckage already reflected in a coin sitting just 3.6% above the 60-day low at $0.191. RSI at 35.6 says the spring is compressed; with fear at 29 and only 48.7% long, the next bounce can be violent even if the larger chart looks ugly.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo calls $0.191 “support,” but SNX is only 3.6% above it while MACD momentum is worsening at -0.0008684 and the 30-day loss is -16.6%. A shallow RSI reading does not make a floor; it makes a breakdown more dangerous when price is below every major moving average.
I’m the aggressive risk voice. The bearish ruling still understates downside room: SNX is 25.4% below the 60-day high, only 3.6% above $0.191, and the 30-day slide is already -16.6%. The prior record shows 2 WIN and 0 LOSS on shown underweight calls, so continuation has better precedent than the ruling’s restrained tone suggests.
I’m the conservative risk voice. The fastest failure is a sharp mean-reversion bounce from RSI 35.6 near $0.191, especially because only 48.7% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 0.95 rather than heavily crowded. The fragile exhibit is the assumption that negative MACD will keep accelerating after a -16.6% monthly decline.
I’m the neutral risk voice. Leo overreaches on RSI, while Mara overreaches if she treats the 60-day low as irrelevant; the deciding condition is whether $0.191 holds or breaks. The settled record favors the bearish desk with 2 WIN and 0 LOSS, but the current call needs that price floor to fail for a fresh downside impulse.
· RSI-driven rebound from 35.6
· Breakdown failure near $0.191
· Unexpected SNX-specific catalyst
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $0.2651 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.191 is a defined risk boundary, not hopium. A 35.6 RSI after a -7.3% seven-day slide leaves little room for fresh panic without a reflex rebound.
Leo, defined does not mean defended. The latest close at $0.1978 is below the $0.1981 high, and the expanding negative MACD says sellers still own the tape.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.191 is a defined risk boundary, not hopium. A 35.6 RSI after a -7.3% seven-day slide leaves little room for fresh panic without a reflex rebound.
Leo, defined does not mean defended. The latest close at $0.1978 is below the $0.1981 high, and the expanding negative MACD says sellers still own the tape.
I’m Theo Okafor. The crowd isn’t decisively trapped: longs are 48.7%, the L/S ratio is 0.95, and taker flow is 0.82. That removes the classic squeeze fuel, while funding is unavailable and cannot rescue either thesis.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. The macro backdrop is a liquidity drain, not a safe harbor: Bitcoin is falling during Middle East conflict, and crypto is failing the haven test. Sector tokenization headlines do nothing for a token already 25.4% below its 60-day high.
I’m Judge Aldrich. The bearish side wins, decisively, on the combined exhibit of price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, with MACD histogram still expanding negatively. My ruling is overturned if SNX reclaims $0.2651, the 60-day high, after a sustained reversal; before that, $0.191 is the immediate failure line.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. SNX is below SMA20 by 5.9%, SMA50 by 9.6%, and SMA200 by 30.2%, while the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -22.8%. RSI is 35.6, but MACD histogram is still expanding at -0.0008684; my technical read is bearish, with adequate evidence from trend, momentum, and moving-average families.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.82, and only 48.7% of long/short accounts are long, with a 0.95 ratio. Fear is real, but positioning is near-balanced rather than capitulation; direction is bearish, evidence is adequate across sentiment, flow, and account-positioning families, with the conflict that crowded longs are not extreme.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The headline tape is hostile: Bitcoin is falling amid Middle East conflict, while crypto is explicitly failing as a haven. IBM’s digital-asset platform is constructive for the sector, but it offers no immediate SNX-specific catalyst; news impact is bearish.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The data pack provides no SNX-specific revenue, supply, staking, or protocol-health figures, so the fundamental case cannot outrun the chart. Sector infrastructure news from IBM is a distant positive, not evidence of improving SNX token economics; fundamentals are neutral-to-negative on limited direct evidence.
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