SNX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SNX sits 27.0% below its SMA200 as bearish structure outweighs a small MACD flicker
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-09 01:11 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -4.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of 0.2210 with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.191 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost: Leo calls the 27.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost: Leo calls the 27. Key support to defend sits near $0.191. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance: the bear’s strongest number is the 27.0% gap below SMA200, but that’s stale wreckage already visible in the price. RSI is only 43.3, the MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0003182, and SNX is just 0.1% down over seven days; the engine is sputtering toward a bounce, not accelerating into the ditch.
I’m Mara Frost: Leo calls the 27.0% SMA200 gap stale because he has no fresher bullish structure to offer. Price is still 2.0% below SMA20 and 5.1% below SMA50, while the 30-day loss is 8.5%; a tiny positive MACD histogram cannot erase a 23.0% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread.
I’m the aggressive desk: downside is still underpriced because SNX remains 27.0% below SMA200 and the 60-day low at 0.191 is only 10.0% beneath price. The 8.5% 30-day drawdown could extend if macro fear worsens.
I’m the conservative desk: the fastest failure is a sharp rebound from the 0.191 low, especially with RSI at 43.3 rather than oversold. The expanding MACD histogram of +0.0003182 is the fragile exhibit.
I’m the neutral desk: Leo overreached by treating +0.0003182 MACD as a trend reversal, while Mara overreaches if she ignores the 10.0% cushion above 0.191. The deciding condition is whether price reclaims 0.2210 and RSI clears 50.
· MACD-led rebound
· Support near 0.191 holds
· Macro-news shock reverses crypto sentiment
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of 0.2210 with RSI above 50.
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.191 and price is 10.0% above it; sellers haven’t produced a fresh breakdown. That base, plus MACD expansion, gives the tape room to spring.
Leo, being 10.0% above a low is not support—it’s merely distance from the floor. The 60-day high at 0.2651 remains 20.7% away, and your spring has not reclaimed even SMA20.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.191 and price is 10.0% above it; sellers haven’t produced a fresh breakdown. That base, plus MACD expansion, gives the tape room to spring.
Leo, being 10.0% above a low is not support—it’s merely distance from the floor. The 60-day high at 0.2651 remains 20.7% away, and your spring has not reclaimed even SMA20.
I’m Theo Okafor: the crowd is hardly euphoric—Fear&Greed is 31 and taker buy/sell is 0.92. But 50.9% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.04 show modest bullish skew without funding data to prove a squeeze.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: conflict headlines and Bitcoin’s safe-haven failure are a liquidity tax on smaller tokens. SNX’s 8.5% 30-day slide fits that regime far better than a durable reversal.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bearish side wins, decided by the 23.0% SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. The call flips only if SNX reclaims 0.2210, the approximate level implied by recovering the 5.1% SMA50 discount, while maintaining momentum above RSI 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: bearish. SNX trades 2.0% below SMA20, 5.1% below SMA50, and 27.0% below SMA200; SMA50 is 23.0% under SMA200. RSI 43.3 and expanding MACD histogram at +0.0003182 show a modest countertrend pulse, not a repaired chart.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: bearish. Fear&Greed is 31, taker buy/sell is 0.92, and the 60-day high sits 20.7% away at 0.2651. Long accounts are 50.9% with an L/S ratio of 1.04, so fear hasn’t fully flushed the hopeful crowd.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: bearish macro tone. Barron’s frames Bitcoin’s fall amid Middle East conflict as evidence crypto is not acting like a haven, while the surrounding headlines emphasize slump-era safe havens and regulatory preparation. IBM’s digital-asset platform is constructive industry plumbing, but it offers no SNX-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: neutral-to-bearish on the evidence supplied. The pack provides no SNX token-economics, revenue, collateral, governance, or protocol-usage figures, so there is no fundamental exhibit strong enough to counter SNX’s 30-day decline of 8.5%.
ae58ee1146fe0a88c8943b403df20653a98ceecadfa9d5330196d65ce6929443Not yet committed. Today's rulings are hashed into the chain after the daily run — until then this report has a fingerprint but no chain entry. · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-08 · 2026-08-07 · 2026-08-06 · 2026-08-05 · 2026-08-04 · 2026-08-03 · 2026-08-02 · 2026-08-01