JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST’s RSI at 42.4 meets a 7-day slide of 6.5%
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-27 02:22 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
C
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A close above 0.11 accompanied by RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.08457 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.08457. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the ugly number: JST is down 6.5% over seven days, with RSI at 42.4 and MACD weakening. But the big engine hasn’t stalled—price remains 26.3% above SMA200 and SMA50 stands 29.3% above it, so this looks like a pullback inside a powerful long-term uptrend. The August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC, but that failure makes today’s softer, evidence-led stance materially different.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s 26.3% above-SMA200 figure is a rear-view mirror, not a rescue line; the current tape is below both SMA20 by 3.3% and SMA50 by 2.4%, while MACD deterioration is expanding. Greed at 71 makes the dip more dangerous, not more attractive, and the August 16 overweight loss of 18.1% versus BTC is a fresh warning against worshipping long-term averages.
I’m the aggressive desk, and the bearish ruling leaves too much downside unpriced: spot at 0.100435 is only 9.1% below the 60-day high but still 18.3% above the 0.08457 low. If SMA50’s 29.3% lead over SMA200 finally loses relevance, the long-term floor can be tested quickly.
I’m the conservative desk. The fastest failure is a squeeze higher from the 1.13 taker buy/sell reading, especially while price remains 26.3% above SMA200; the fragile exhibit is the expanding MACD weakness, which can reverse abruptly. The August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC, but that does not guarantee another downside resolution.
I’m the neutral desk. The aggressive bear case overreaches if it treats a 7-day -6.5% move as a confirmed regime break, while the bull case overreaches by treating SMA200 distance as current momentum. The deciding condition is whether JST reclaims SMA50 and then 0.11, or remains below the 0.100435-area structure with MACD still negative.
· bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure
· taker buy/sell 1.13
· sharp reversal from RSI 42.4
Invalidation: A close above 0.11 accompanied by RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 0.08457 sixty-day low is still 18.3% beneath spot at 0.100435. A market that has held that distance from its floor isn’t displaying a broken structure yet.
Leo, the other side of your range is the problem: 0.11 is only 9.1% above spot, and price is already beneath SMA20 and SMA50. Your August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC; the chart’s current weakness says the old bullish template is stale.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.08457 sixty-day low is still 18.3% beneath spot at 0.100435. A market that has held that distance from its floor isn’t displaying a broken structure yet.
Leo, the other side of your range is the problem: 0.11 is only 9.1% above spot, and price is already beneath SMA20 and SMA50. Your August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC; the chart’s current weakness says the old bullish template is stale.
I’m Theo Okafor. The crowd isn’t positioned like a confident trend: long accounts are just 32.3%, L/S is 0.48, and Fear&Greed is 71. Taker buy/sell at 1.13 is mildly supportive, but without funding data it cannot prove sustained demand.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. Macro headlines may help crypto liquidity, but this packet gives no JST-specific transmission mechanism. A 30-day move of -0.6% beside a 7-day drop of -6.5% reads like deterioration, not a clean macro-led advance.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bear side wins, driven decisively by price below SMA20 and SMA50, expanding negative MACD, and greed at 71. This differs from the recent losing calls because I’m not repeating an overweight stance against the evidence; the call is invalidated by a close back above 0.11 with RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. Direction: bearish. Price sits 3.3% below SMA20 and 2.4% below SMA50; MACD histogram is negative and expanding at -0.0009287. The long-term structure still fights me: price is 26.3% above SMA200 and SMA50 leads SMA200 by 29.3%.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Direction: bearish. Fear&Greed is overheated at 71 while only 32.3% of long accounts remain, with an L/S ratio of 0.48; taker flow at 1.13 is the counterweight. StockTwits supplied zero messages, so social confirmation is absent. Evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow, social activity. Conflicts: taker buy/sell 1.13 and the lack of bearish social chatter. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The headlines point to broader crypto-regulatory and liquidity themes, including the SEC revisiting custody rules and stablecoins becoming financial rails. Nothing in the packet is a JST-specific catalyst, so the news tape offers no clean reason to ignore a 7-day loss of 6.5%.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The packet provides no JST-specific supply, demand, revenue, adoption, or token-unlock figures. Fundamental direction is therefore neutral-to-unconfirmed, and the verdict rests on market structure and crowd conditions.
a3754edb69f8414d54ca25c132e4b0af0f8236ae569a4c9bdaa9f7353bc287b364bb1ee510b85abc06eb9d0328d74bef4839ac43e76e5a63e96f0ad2d0a0301eCommitted 2026-08-28T00:20:00+00:00 · 93 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-21