JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST sits at $0.101405 with RSI 44.0: long-term structure bullish, near-term tape under pressure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-25 02:35 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
C
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.11 accompanied by a positive, contracting-to-zero MACD histogram.. Cautious read: a break below $0.08182 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your SMA200 is a rear-view mirror, not a rescue boat.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your SMA200 is a rear-view mirror, not a rescue boat. Key support to defend sits near $0.08182. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly tape: JST is down 5.7% over seven days, trades 2.8% below SMA20, and its MACD histogram is -0.0007668 and expanding. But the market is leaning into the bruise while the deeper structure still holds—price sits 28.6% above SMA200 and SMA50 towers 30.0% above SMA200; that can make this dip a reset, not a collapse. I also acknowledge the 2026-08-16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC, but today’s evidence is less euphoric in account structure and more anchored by a confirmed long-term trend.
Leo, your SMA200 is a rear-view mirror, not a rescue boat. The number that matters now is the expanding -0.0007668 MACD histogram alongside a 5.7% weekly slide, while $0.11 remains 8.1% overhead; the supposed reset has no momentum confirmation. The 2026-08-16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC, and the 2026-08-09 underweight call also lost 9.4% versus BTC—the record says directional confidence has been expensive, not rewarded.
I think the bearish ruling leaves too much room for a snapback: only 33.5% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 0.50, so a recovery toward the $0.11 high could face little long-side crowding. The 28.6% premium above SMA200 is the underpriced structural exhibit.
The fastest failure is a continuation of the expanding -0.0007668 MACD weakness while JST remains below SMA20 by 2.8%. The fragile exhibit is the bullish moving-average structure, because it is long-horizon evidence against a tape already down 5.7% in seven days.
The bullish side overreaches by treating SMA200 as an immediate floor; the bearish side overreaches if it ignores price still 28.6% above that average. The deciding condition is whether JST reclaims $0.11 or instead extends the MACD deterioration below its current -0.0007668 reading; the settled record’s 2026-08-16 overweight loss of 18.1% versus BTC favors restraint.
· Bitcoin-led crypto recovery lifts JST despite weak momentum
· Long/short ratio of 0.50 leaves room for a squeeze
· Long-term SMA50/SMA200 bullish structure
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.11 accompanied by a positive, contracting-to-zero MACD histogram.
Mara, a 28.6% premium to SMA200 is not trivia; it says sellers have not broken the primary trend. Your $0.11 ceiling is only 8.1% away, close enough for a recovery test.
Leo, that premium exists because the old trend was strong, while current price is beneath both SMA20 and SMA50. A ceiling 8.1% away is resistance until price proves otherwise.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, a 28.6% premium to SMA200 is not trivia; it says sellers have not broken the primary trend. Your $0.11 ceiling is only 8.1% away, close enough for a recovery test.
Leo, that premium exists because the old trend was strong, while current price is beneath both SMA20 and SMA50. A ceiling 8.1% away is resistance until price proves otherwise.
I’m with Mara on the immediate crowd read: only 33.5% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 0.50, and taker buy/sell is 0.95. That is not crowded-long fuel, but it is also not aggressive demand; funding is absent, so no squeeze thesis is confirmed.
Bitcoin near $80,000 helps the tide, but JST is down 3.4% over 30 days despite that recovery backdrop. Liquidity optimism is a macro headline, not JST-specific sponsorship.
I rule for the bear side, with near-term momentum as the decisive exhibit: the expanding MACD histogram at -0.0007668, reinforced by the 5.7% seven-day decline and price below SMA20 and SMA50. The long-term SMA structure prevents a high-conviction downgrade, but this call is overturned by a sustained break above $0.11 with momentum turning positive.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: mixed. Evidence families: RSI 44.0; price 2.8% below SMA20 and 1.1% below SMA50; price 28.6% above SMA200; SMA50 is 30.0% above SMA200; MACD histogram -0.0007668 and expanding; 7d return -5.7%, 30d return -3.4%. Conflicts: bullish long-term moving-average structure versus weakening momentum and short-term trend. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 74; long accounts only 33.5%; long/short ratio 0.50; taker buy/sell 0.95. Conflicts: broad greed contrasts with net-short account balance and softer taker demand; StockTwits has 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Bitcoin’s recovery toward $80,000 provides a supportive macro backdrop, but the headlines are broad crypto-liquidity and Bitcoin stories rather than JST-specific catalysts. The pack offers no JST listing, partnership, governance, or protocol event capable of overriding the chart.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no JST-specific supply, unlock, revenue, usage, or valuation figures. Fundamental conviction is therefore unavailable; the verdict rests on price structure, momentum, and crowd data.
9758ade40a0786cf221e82597534fd33ca4a1eab06d02cd986530d93eba8d32a14faabecdb7719003b4bda7de235e76e71170edaad505076d223f4a3b6d33cbeCommitted 2026-08-26T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-21