JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST holds 37.1% above its 200-day SMA, but sits 3.9% below the 60-day high
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-20 02:28 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close below 0.10497 overturns the neutral ruling toward bearish; a decisive break above 0.11 overturns it toward bullish.. Cautious read: a break below $0.10497 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s 37.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s 37. Key support to defend sits near $0.10497. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly tape: JST’s 0.10588 price slipped 1.503% in 24 hours, and the recent overweight calls on August 2, 3, 4, and 5 lost 6.8%, 7.2%, 4.4%, and 4.6% versus BTC. But that failure is stale baggage, not a fresh chart break: JST still sits 37.1% above SMA200, SMA50 is 31.0% above SMA200, and the 60-day low at 0.07979 is 32.5% below spot.
Leo’s 37.1% statistic is a rear-view mirror polished to distract from the windshield. Price is only 1.1% above SMA20, 3.9% below 0.11, MACD is negative, and takers lean defensive at 0.80—hardly evidence that the August losses have been repaired. The August 9 underweight call also lost 9.4% versus BTC, proving this tape can punish both conviction and complacency.
I see more upside than the ruling admits because JST is 37.1% above SMA200 while only 3.9% below 0.11. The August 9 underweight loss of 9.4% versus BTC also shows how quickly relative strength can reappear when the market stops rewarding defensive calls.
The fastest failure is a loss of 0.10497, the latest session low, because price is barely 1.1% above SMA20 and MACD is already negative. The August 2-5 overweight calls each lost between 4.4% and 7.2% versus BTC, making the bullish moving-average exhibit the fragile one.
The aggressive desk overreaches on upside speed, while the conservative desk overweights the recent record: the August 8 overweight call was only a 2.8% PUSH, and August 9 underweight lost 9.4%. The deciding condition is whether JST reclaims 0.11 or breaks 0.10497 first.
· negative MACD and weak taker flow
· macro-led rather than JST-specific news
· recent 0 WIN / 5 LOSS settled record
Invalidation: A sustained close below 0.10497 overturns the neutral ruling toward bearish; a decisive break above 0.11 overturns it toward bullish.
Mara, a 56.4 RSI is not a collapse signal; it’s room to run before overheating. If 0.11 gives way, the compressed 7-day gain of just 0.7% can turn into a springboard.
Leo, “room to run” dies at resistance when momentum is already fading. MACD is negative and spot has failed to reclaim 0.11, so your springboard is still a sketch.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, a 56.4 RSI is not a collapse signal; it’s room to run before overheating. If 0.11 gives way, the compressed 7-day gain of just 0.7% can turn into a springboard.
Leo, “room to run” dies at resistance when momentum is already fading. MACD is negative and spot has failed to reclaim 0.11, so your springboard is still a sketch.
Leo, the crowd isn’t providing fuel: long accounts are 42.2%, L/S is 0.73, and taker buy/sell is 0.80. That reduces liquidation-style upside pressure, but it also means there is no confirmed funding squeeze because funding is unavailable.
The Bitcoin move toward $70,000 helps the regime, but the headlines are macro and Trump-centric, not JST-specific. A broad liquidity tide can lift JST, yet it can recede just as quickly.
I rule neutral, with the bullish moving-average structure offset by weak short-term confirmation. The decisive exhibit is the conflict between price 37.1% above SMA200 and the negative MACD histogram; this call is invalidated toward bullish resolution by a sustained break above 0.11, and toward bearish resolution by a break below 0.10497.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is structurally bullish: price is 4.7% above SMA50, 37.1% above SMA200, and SMA50 leads SMA200 by 31.0%. But RSI is only 56.4 and MACD histogram remains negative at -0.00001165, leaving 0.11 as the decisive ceiling.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd posture is not chasing: only 42.2% of long accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 0.73, and taker buy/sell is 0.80. Fear&Greed at 62 says greed is present, while StockTwits supplied 0 messages, so social confirmation is absent.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines are dominated by Bitcoin at $70,000, Treasury yields, and Trump-linked crypto banking developments. That is a broad risk-appetite backdrop, not a JST-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no JST-specific token-economics, utility, supply, or protocol-growth metrics. Fundamental support for a coin-specific rerating is therefore unavailable.
0142964843a593ccc0d2a8fd86fc15bc85bb78fcbed2b49480dfb78987499c763c48fe76cfdb380303016b74f46003f8e487fa46e3f85434b095720b4f300a33Committed 2026-08-21T00:20:00+00:00 · 88 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-21