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JST / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC
$0.10
-0.88% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-24 — latest verdict → JST
The Verdict
Overweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

JST surges 24.8% in 30 days with price 47.3% above the 200-day SMA, yet the crowd remains paralyzed in Fear.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bullish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bullish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay B
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
1W–8L–7P · 9 neutral · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 2.0–43.5% · n=9 · early sample
2026-09-01 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -1.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · JST price $0.101405 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · JST price $0.09987 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-1.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · JST price $0.10695 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · JST price $0.09744 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-10.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · JST price $0.10683 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · JST price $0.097735 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-16.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · JST price $0.10588 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · JST price $0.100435 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-16.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · JST price $0.10689 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · JST price $0.10695 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-18.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-15 · JST price $0.10524 · BTC $63021.6
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-23 · JST price $0.10695 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-16.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · JST price $0.10168 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · JST price $0.10588 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · JST price $0.100665 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · JST price $0.10689 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+9.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · JST price $0.10539 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · JST price $0.10524 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · JST price $0.10504 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-15 · JST price $0.10524 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · JST price $0.106055 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · JST price $0.10168 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · JST price $0.105935 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · JST price $0.100285 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · JST price $0.105245 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · JST price $0.101265 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · JST price $0.105895 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · JST price $0.100775 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-7.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · JST price $0.1046 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · JST price $0.100665 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-6.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · JST price $0.103135 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · JST price $0.10539 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · JST price $0.101585 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · JST price $0.10504 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · JST price $0.09892 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · JST price $0.106055 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · JST price $0.100865 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · JST price $0.105935 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+5.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · JST price $0.102315 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · JST price $0.105245 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · JST price $0.10452 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · JST price $0.105895 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · JST price $0.10404 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · JST price $0.1046 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · JST price $0.101365 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · JST price $0.101585 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · JST price $0.101895 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · JST price $0.09892 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · JST price $0.10143 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · JST price $0.100865 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
+2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.101365 -0.9% 24h
60d high0.10471 -3.3%
60d low0.07091 +42.9%
RSI(14)63.2
vs 200d SMA +47.3%
30d change +24.8%
Funding (net) -2.99 bp/8h
Fear & Greed28 · Fear
Long accounts45.0% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A daily close below 0.089 (approx. 50-day SMA level) invalidates the bullish trend structure.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBullish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.07091
Key resistance$0.1047
InvalidationA daily close below 0.089 (approx. 50-day SMA level) invalidates the bullish trend structure.
Main risksFailure to break 0.1047 resistanceMACD divergence turning price downRegulatory headline risk from Senate
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Price action is decisively bullish, sitting 13.9% above the 50-day SMA and 47.3% above the 200-day SMA. The 60-day low at 0.07091 is a distant memory, and we are currently pressing against the 60-day high of 0.1047.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

The market is displaying a classic contrarian setup; the Fear & Greed index sits at 28 (Fear) despite a 30-day gain of 24.8%. Long accounts are only 45.0% with an L/S ratio of 0.82, suggesting the crowd has not chased this rally yet.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Macro headlines are noisy, with the Senate Clarity Act expected to miss its window and general anti-crypto political noise. However, the Amazon hiring news for a crypto lead is a tangible adoption signal that cuts through the regulatory bearishness.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

Token economics are not detailed in this pack, but the price structure suggests strong accumulation. The lack of funding data prevents a full leverage health check, but the spot price appreciation is the primary fundamental driver here.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
c0b77ff0a6d18226f4e957eecf39e8aec8962a32c0df9a48edbac93d65d6cc3f
UTC date
2026-07-24
Chain head
10578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0

Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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