JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST at $0.09959: long-term MA support clashes with RSI 40.3 and a -5.7% seven-day slide
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-26 02:06 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
D
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The neutral ruling is overturned by a decisive break below $0.08457 or a reclaim of $0.11 accompanied by improving momentum.. Cautious read: a break below $0.08457 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s 26.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s 26. Key support to defend sits near $0.08457. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: JST is down 5.7% over seven days, with RSI at 40.3 and an expanding -0.000988 MACD histogram. But the chart’s deeper floor is still intact—price sits 26.0% above the SMA200 and the SMA50 leads the SMA200 by 29.6%; the short-term bruise looks like digestion inside a larger uptrend, not a structural collapse. The recent August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC, so I’m not pretending the tape owes us a rebound.
Leo’s 26.0% above-SMA200 figure is a rear-view mirror used to excuse a failing dashboard. The actionable structure is price 4.1% under SMA20, 2.8% under SMA50, a -3.5% thirty-day return, and a MACD histogram worsening; the 60-day high at $0.11 is still 9.6% away. The August 15 neutral call was flat-out resolved at -16.9% versus BTC, and August 13 neutral at -4.9%—the market has already shown that relative weakness can overwhelm comforting long-term averages.
The bullish structure has more room than this ruling admits: JST remains 26.0% above SMA200, while the 60-day low at $0.08457 is 17.6% below spot. With only 32.2% of accounts long and a 0.48 long/short ratio, upside can be underappreciated if the crypto-wide rebound returns.
The fastest failure is continued trend decay from current levels: JST is already 4.1% below SMA20, down 5.7% in seven days, and MACD is -0.000988 and expanding. The fragile exhibit is the bullish moving-average spread, because it can lag badly while price loses the $0.08457 floor; the August 16 overweight call lost 18.1% versus BTC.
Leo overreaches by treating the 26.0% SMA200 premium as near-term support; Mara overreaches if she calls a collapse before $0.08457 breaks. The deciding condition is whether JST reclaims $0.11 or instead violates the $0.08457 60-day low; the latest neutral calls resolved at -16.9% and -4.9% versus BTC, so relative weakness deserves the heavier scrutiny.
· continued crypto-wide risk-off reversal
· MACD deterioration below the bullish long-term MA structure
· JST underperformance versus Bitcoin
Invalidation: The neutral ruling is overturned by a decisive break below $0.08457 or a reclaim of $0.11 accompanied by improving momentum.
Mara, you’re treating the 60-day high at $0.11 as a verdict, but $0.08457 is 17.6% below spot; the downside cushion is materially wider than the upside gap.
Leo, that cushion is not support until buyers prove it. A 0.97 taker buy/sell ratio, RSI 40.3, and -5.7% weekly performance say demand is absent before $0.08457 even enters the conversation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the 60-day high at $0.11 as a verdict, but $0.08457 is 17.6% below spot; the downside cushion is materially wider than the upside gap.
Leo, that cushion is not support until buyers prove it. A 0.97 taker buy/sell ratio, RSI 40.3, and -5.7% weekly performance say demand is absent before $0.08457 even enters the conversation.
I’m with Mara on flow, though not on catastrophe: only 32.2% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 0.48. That reduces long-crowding risk, but it also confirms that sentiment is not supplying a clean squeeze catalyst; funding is unavailable, so no funding-based rescue story is defensible.
Theo’s data argues against a crowded downside cascade. With Fear&Greed at 65 and price still 26.0% above SMA200, JST has room to stabilize if the broader crypto surge resumes.
I rule neutral, with the short-term momentum exhibit decisive: price is 4.1% below SMA20, RSI is 40.3, and MACD is -0.000988 and expanding. This differs from the recent losing calls because the present verdict refuses the prior overweight bias while explicitly recognizing the 29.6% bullish SMA50/SMA200 spread; the ruling flips bearish only if JST closes below the $0.08457 60-day low, and flips bullish if it reclaims $0.11 with momentum improving.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
JST trades 4.1% below its SMA20 and 2.8% below its SMA50, while remaining 26.0% above its SMA200. RSI is 40.3 and the MACD histogram is -0.000988 and expanding, so the near-term tape is bearish despite the bullish 50/200-day structure.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
JST sentiment is fragile beneath the surface: Fear&Greed is 65, yet only 32.2% of accounts are long and the long/short ratio is 0.48. Taker buy/sell is 0.97, while StockTwits has 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Direction: mixed; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account ratios, taker flow, social activity; conflicts: greed reading versus weak taker flow and low long participation; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The news tape is dominated by a crypto-wide surge pause, Bitcoin’s sharp recovery, and ETH liquidation headlines rather than a JST-specific catalyst. Blockchain banking-network and OCC charter stories may support sector legitimacy, but they do not provide a direct JST earnings or utility impulse.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack supplies no JST-specific token-economics, adoption, protocol-revenue, unlock, or supply data. Sector blockchain infrastructure headlines are supportive in tone but too indirect to establish a fundamental edge.
bc7f13b593ed0ac1f27c80b778afdddc519e6a7e7a84b66c456fe31fe3cc232b650479c8d662b50f512b6a5ccfb1242fb411c562a0dabecc0eed582b87132f9fCommitted 2026-08-27T00:20:00+00:00 · 93 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-21