JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST holds $0.10143 with RSI 65.2, but sits just 3.1% below its 60-day high
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:39 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -1.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.1047 with RSI holding above 65 would invalidate the bearish-leaning ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.10048 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your SMA stack is backward-looking armor, not a breakout signal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your SMA stack is backward-looking armor, not a breakout signal. Key support to defend sits near $0.10048. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede, Mara, that JST is only 3.1% below the 60-day high at $0.1047 and the MACD histogram is negative at -0.0001353. But that pullback risk is stale and visible: price is still 15.4% above SMA50, 48.8% above SMA200, and up 20.9% over 30 days, while Fear&Greed at 33 says the crowd hasn't priced in a mania.
Leo, your SMA stack is backward-looking armor, not a breakout signal. JST is pressing $0.1047 with RSI already at 65.2, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.92 and MACD remains negative; that is exactly the setup where hopium mistakes a slowing advance for fresh demand.
· Breakout above $0.1047
· Macro Bitcoin weakness below $66,000
· RSI-driven pullback
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.1047 with RSI holding above 65 would invalidate the bearish-leaning ruling.
Mara, if sellers truly owned this tape, taker flow wouldn't be the only weak reading while price stays 4.0% above SMA20. Fear at 33 gives this move room to surprise the crowded skeptics.
Leo, price can float above moving averages while momentum decays. A negative MACD histogram at -0.0001353 beside a $0.1047 ceiling is a concrete rejection risk, not a philosophical objection.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, if sellers truly owned this tape, taker flow wouldn't be the only weak reading while price stays 4.0% above SMA20. Fear at 33 gives this move room to surprise the crowded skeptics.
Leo, price can float above moving averages while momentum decays. A negative MACD histogram at -0.0001353 beside a $0.1047 ceiling is a concrete rejection risk, not a philosophical objection.
I’m with Mara on the flow tape: 49.0% long accounts and a 0.96 L/S ratio show no bullish positioning imbalance, but taker buy/sell at 0.92 confirms immediate aggression still favors sellers. That makes a breakout unconfirmed, not impossible.
And the macro backdrop is hostile: Bitcoin is under $66,000 and the 99% stablecoin collapse is a fresh liquidity-confidence shock. JST's 43.0% distance above the 60-day low does not protect it if the broader tape de-risks.
I rule for the bears on the single decisive exhibit: taker buy/sell at 0.92 alongside a contracting MACD histogram of -0.0001353 beneath the $0.1047 resistance. I would overturn this ruling on a sustained close above $0.1047 with RSI holding above 65.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a bullish structure: price is 4.0% above SMA20, 15.4% above SMA50, and 48.8% above SMA200, with SMA50 leading SMA200 by 29.0%. RSI at 65.2 is strong but near overbought territory, while the contracting MACD histogram at -0.0001353 warns that momentum is cooling.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I read fear, not euphoria: Fear&Greed is 33, only 49.0% of long accounts are long, and the L/S ratio is 0.96. Taker buy/sell at 0.92 still shows sellers leaning harder, so JST's 20.9% 30-day gain isn't being chased aggressively.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I find no JST-specific catalyst in the headlines. The broader tape is defensive, with a stablecoin collapsing 99% after a $1 million exploit and Bitcoin below $66,000 ahead of Alphabet earnings; that backdrop can cap JST's breakout attempt.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I have no JST-specific token-economics, adoption, supply, or protocol data in this pack. The available evidence supports a technical swing view, not a durable fundamental thesis.
fec4dfb946ceb94dfcce2f3f3d4c8027ddc581f5b1d15c666ad5d89c137c7b41d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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