JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST’s 0.100865 price sits beneath a 0.106 resistance test as bullish structure clashes with fading momentum
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:53 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -1.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive close below 0.10027, reinforced by RSI(14) dropping below 50, overturns the bullish swing view.. Cautious read: a break below $0.10027 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 43.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede the ugly number: MACD histogram is -0. Resistance to clear sits near $0.106. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: MACD histogram is -0.0004253 and expanding, while takers are selling at a 0.90 buy/sell ratio. But that’s smoke near the engine, not a wreck—the price is still 43.6% above SMA200, SMA50 leads SMA200 by 29.7%, and the 30-day gain is 15.2%; the tape has a sturdy floor beneath a short-term wobble.
Leo, your 43.6% above SMA200 is a rear-view mirror, not a forward signal. JST is only 0.2% above SMA20, down 1.1% over seven days, sitting 4.8% below the 0.106 60-day high, and the expanding negative MACD says the immediate bid is deteriorating—not “priced in.”
· expanding negative MACD histogram
· taker buy/sell ratio 0.90
· broad crypto liquidity and exchange stress
Invalidation: A decisive close below 0.10027, reinforced by RSI(14) dropping below 50, overturns the bullish swing view.
Mara, fear at 29 with just 38.1% long accounts is hardly a crowded-top setup. If sellers can’t break 0.10027, this is compressed fuel aimed back at 0.106.
Leo, low longs don’t create demand; the 0.62 L/S ratio and 0.90 taker ratio show buyers aren’t stepping up. A failed 0.106 retest leaves the 0.10027 floor exposed.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, fear at 29 with just 38.1% long accounts is hardly a crowded-top setup. If sellers can’t break 0.10027, this is compressed fuel aimed back at 0.106.
Leo, low longs don’t create demand; the 0.62 L/S ratio and 0.90 taker ratio show buyers aren’t stepping up. A failed 0.106 retest leaves the 0.10027 floor exposed.
I’ll interrupt: positioning is defensively skewed, which helps the contrarian case, but I have no funding-rate data to prove shorts are paying for that trade. The flow exhibit currently belongs to Mara.
And broad macro headlines are thin medicine. A merely possible dovish Fed impulse may lift Bitcoin, but exchange stress and vanishing day traders argue against assuming liquidity will carry JST through 0.106.
I side with the bulls for a weeks-long swing, and my decisive exhibit is the bullish moving-average stack: price is 43.6% above SMA200 while SMA50 is 29.7% above SMA200. I invalidate that ruling on a decisive break below 0.10027, especially if RSI(14) falls under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: mixed. Evidence families: RSI(14) 57.0; price above SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 by 0.2%/10.7%/43.6%; SMA50 above SMA200 by 29.7%; MACD histogram -0.0004253 and expanding. Conflicts: strong moving-average structure versus weakening MACD and only +0.2% above SMA20. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 29; long accounts only 38.1% with L/S ratio 0.62; taker buy/sell 0.90. Conflicts: fear can support a contrarian bounce, but current flow still favors selling. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines offer no JST-specific catalyst. Bitcoin optimism and possible dovish-Fed support are broad-market tailwinds, while disappearing day traders and exchange stress are background liquidity threats.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack supplies no JST token-economics, valuation, unlock, adoption, or protocol-health figures. I therefore assign no fundamental edge beyond the observed market structure.
21d0ae613e170c105f6f2f26b056ef4ef98045fc956329bd17abc028ad7151f5e65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23