JST / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JST sits 4.6% below its SMA20 as bearish short-term momentum outweighs the longer-term trend
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-29 02:35 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Neutral
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
D
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — -10.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — -16.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -18.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Neutral — -16.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Neutral — -4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +9.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Overweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Overweight — +2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — -4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +2.5% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Neutral — +5.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +3.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Overweight — +2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +2.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.11 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.08664 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.08664. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. I concede the ugly number: JST is down 5.9% over seven days and sits 4.6% under SMA20, but that looks like a pullback inside a still-intact higher-timeframe runway, with price 23.4% above SMA200 and SMA50 28.2% above SMA200. The recent overweight calls on August 21 and August 16 both lost 16.3% and 18.1% versus BTC, so the obvious bullish story has already been punished; that stale pain can become fuel if 0.098 holds.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s “runway” is a long-term chart being used to excuse immediate damage: JST is below both SMA20 and SMA50, down 4.3% over 30 days, and its MACD histogram is still negative at -0.001047. The August 21 and August 16 overweight calls lost 16.3% and 18.1% versus BTC, and nothing in this pack proves today is different enough to repeat that optimism.
I’m more bullish than the ruling: the 60-day low at 0.08664 is 13.6% below spot, while price remains 23.4% above SMA200 and SMA50 is 28.2% above SMA200. If 0.098 holds, the downside may already be heavily discounted relative to the longer-term trend.
I’m more bearish: the fragile exhibit is the supposed support at 0.098, because current price is already below SMA20 and SMA50, with RSI only 40.7 rather than deeply washed out. The fastest failure is a break toward 0.08664 while Fear&Greed stays elevated at 68.
I’m arbitrating that Leo overreaches by calling the SMA200 premium immediate fuel, while Mara overreaches if she treats 0.08664 as inevitable. The deciding condition is a recovery above 0.11; absent that, the recent August 16 and August 21 overweight losses of 18.1% and 16.3% versus BTC remain the more relevant warning.
· Long-term bullish MA structure
· Broad Bitcoin-led crypto rally
· Potential rebound from 0.08664
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.11 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating 0.11 as if it were a promise, but the 60-day low at 0.08664 leaves a broad 13.6% cushion beneath spot. The long-term MA spread is not a cosmetic exhibit.
Leo, that cushion is not support until buyers defend it; the market is currently 10.5% below the 60-day high and 5.9% lower over seven days. A 23.4% SMA200 premium doesn’t stop a short-term trend from rolling over.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating 0.11 as if it were a promise, but the 60-day low at 0.08664 leaves a broad 13.6% cushion beneath spot. The long-term MA spread is not a cosmetic exhibit.
Leo, that cushion is not support until buyers defend it; the market is currently 10.5% below the 60-day high and 5.9% lower over seven days. A 23.4% SMA200 premium doesn’t stop a short-term trend from rolling over.
I’m Theo Okafor, and the flow tape sides with Mara’s restraint: only 29.9% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 0.43, and taker buy/sell is 0.99. There is no funding-rate data, so nobody gets to claim crowded longs or a squeeze from funding.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. The Bitcoin-positive headlines are macro liquidity decoration, not JST evidence. Until JST recovers 0.11, the asset is still failing to convert the broader crypto narrative into its own price structure.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bearish thesis wins, decided by the short-term structure—JST is 4.6% below SMA20, 3.8% below SMA50, and down 5.9% in seven days. This call differs from the August 16 and August 21 overweight losses because it does not extrapolate the long-term SMA200 strength into an immediate upside call; invalidation is a daily close above 0.11.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. JST trades 4.6% below SMA20 and 3.8% below SMA50, with RSI at 40.7 and a negative MACD histogram of -0.001047. The counterweight is real: price remains 23.4% above SMA200 and SMA50 sits 28.2% above SMA200. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, RSI, MACD, multi-period returns; conflicts: long-term bullish MA structure versus weak short-term structure; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear&Greed at 68 says greed, yet only 29.9% of long accounts remain and the L/S ratio is 0.43; taker buy/sell at 0.99 shows no aggressive demand. The one-message StockTwits sample is bearish, but it is too thin to carry much weight. Direction: neutral; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow, social sample; conflicts: greed headline versus bearish account and flow data; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The supplied headlines are overwhelmingly broad crypto and Bitcoin stories, not JST-specific catalysts. Bitcoin’s reported $81,000 level and macro-positive coverage may lift the sector, but nothing here establishes a JST-specific reason to reclaim 0.11.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The data pack provides no JST token-economics, supply, unlock, adoption, revenue, or protocol-activity figures. I can’t manufacture a fundamental catalyst from general Bitcoin headlines; the fundamental read is unavailable.
629fcc47a651b7f7d23134331e4d9852d4b43b6729d2596e0819a14d4978b642adde2046047c35b2be3d774c5e58080e229d71d404353d96fdaed9f2e1bcf4e2Committed 2026-08-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 91 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-21