PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP’s 9.465% daily surge is bullish—but RSI 71.5 puts the 0.00546 ceiling in focus
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-30 02:25 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive break below 0.004945, accompanied by RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.004945 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Leo Vance. Resistance to clear sits near $0.00546. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. Mara’s strongest number is RSI 71.5, and yes, that’s a hot engine. But PUMP is still 30.6% above SMA20, 83.6% above SMA50, and 150.7% above SMA200; that isn’t a candle flicker, it’s a full trend with the 60-day high only 7.5% away at 0.00546. The 7-day dip of 3.4% looks more like a reset than a wreck.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s favorite number, the 0.00546 high, is precisely the trap: price is already stretched 30.6% above SMA20 while RSI sits at 71.5. A contracting MACD histogram at +7.011e-05 says the thrust is losing force, so calling a 3.4% weekly decline a harmless reset is hopium dressed as chart reading.
I see more upside than the ruling admits: PUMP is only 7.5% below 0.00546 despite a 3.4% 7-day pullback, while 30-day performance is still +143.8%. The 1.07 taker buy/sell ratio leaves room for demand to press the recent high.
The fastest failure is a momentum unwind from RSI 71.5, with price losing the latest low at 0.004945. That would expose how fragile the 30.6% premium to SMA20 is, particularly with MACD histogram contraction at +7.011e-05.
The conservative case overreaches if it treats RSI 71.5 as a reversal signal by itself; the aggressive case overreaches if it ignores long accounts at 57.7%. The deciding condition is whether 0.004945 holds or fails.
· RSI 71.5 and contracting MACD momentum
· 57.7% long accounts and Fear&Greed 69
· thin fundamental data and broader liquidity shocks
Invalidation: A decisive break below 0.004945, accompanied by RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, the trend isn’t hypothetical: 30-day performance is +143.8%, and SMA50 is 36.5% above SMA200. Your exhaustion case needs an actual breakdown, not just a high RSI.
Leo, the same +143.8% is the evidence of crowd fatigue, not a free pass. Fear&Greed at 69 and 57.7% long accounts make a 0.00546 rejection much more violent.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the trend isn’t hypothetical: 30-day performance is +143.8%, and SMA50 is 36.5% above SMA200. Your exhaustion case needs an actual breakdown, not just a high RSI.
Leo, the same +143.8% is the evidence of crowd fatigue, not a free pass. Fear&Greed at 69 and 57.7% long accounts make a 0.00546 rejection much more violent.
I’m Theo Okafor. Taker buy/sell at 1.07 still favors demand, but the L/S ratio of 1.37 shows optimism is already leaning one way. Funding is absent, so nobody gets to invent a carry-based bullish edge.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. The market-wide hack headline that erased 49% from another token is a reminder that liquidity can vanish faster than narratives. PUMP’s own setup remains constructive, but a macro shock would test that thin distance to 0.004945.
I’m Judge Aldrich. The bull side wins, because the decisive exhibit is the bullish moving-average structure: SMA50 is 36.5% above SMA200, with price still 7.5% below the 60-day high at 0.00546. This ruling is overturned by a break below the latest candle low of 0.004945, especially if RSI falls below 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. Direction: bullish. Evidence families: price structure, moving averages, momentum. RSI(14) is 71.5, price sits 30.6% above SMA20, 83.6% above SMA50, and 150.7% above SMA200; SMA50 leads SMA200 by 36.5%. MACD histogram remains positive at +7.011e-05 but is contracting, while the 7-day return is -3.4%. Conflicts: overbought RSI and contracting MACD versus the bullish MA stack. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Direction: bullish. Evidence families: fear-greed, account skew, taker flow, social chatter. Fear&Greed is 69, long accounts are 57.7% with an L/S ratio of 1.37, taker buy/sell is 1.07, and StockTwits shows 4 bullish versus 0 bearish posts among 7 messages. Conflicts: greed and long skew leave the crowd exposed if momentum fades. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The news flow is promotional rather than catalytic: Yahoo Finance frames a possible 107% historical-pattern gain, while CoinMarketCap highlights PUMP reaching $1B. The concrete product item is Pump.fun adding HyperEVM token trading with USDC; broader market headlines about a $1.1 million card hack and a 49% token crash are risk reminders, not PUMP-specific fundamentals.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The pack supplies no token-supply, emissions, revenue, valuation, or unlock data, so fundamental conviction is thin. The HyperEVM/USDC trading expansion is a utility-positive headline, but it cannot independently justify the 30-day gain of 143.8%.
71c6fa6a68fce9bf773e3e327f3b793689ca511aa19af760f856af8c1ce067120071e3de26d06e3c755183e93ee239d43345bcb211c72f3e329230375244b41bCommitted 2026-08-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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